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Southern Cal: Early Thoughts On Sunday Night

Now that we are on Humpday let’s start compiling our notes on our next opponent: Southern Cal Trojans. These guys are going to be a little more fired up for this game on Sunday which will pretty much define their season. How fired up they are going to be for UCLA? Well apparently they were thinking about UCLA prior to their last game against Oregon State. As bruinhoo noted here was Daniel Hackett before their game against UCLA @ the Costco Center:

"We have a big opportunity at home," guard Daniel Hackett said. "I don’t see why we can’t go on a streak."

Well we know how that worked out. The Trojans despite building a double digit lead in the second half choked away a win by coughing up the ball 17 times, getting outhustled on the boards, and flailing away against the Beaver’s effective zone defense. After the game I caught a little bit of the "Trojan Live" which was a little hilarious. Some bald headed guy who was playing the role of a "Trojan basketball analyst" was telling Leslie Sotto how Trojans could see more zone defense from UCLA because of the way they struggled against the Beavers on Sunday night. He actually said on tveee that Howland might throw zone against the Trojies. LOL Also, apparently the Trojan beat writer in the LA Times have been pathetically trying to denigrate Oregon State’s win this week ignoring the real story about how the Trojans didn’t learn their from the football team this season.

Anyway, so Timmeh’s Trojies are going to be an angry bunch this Sunday night (why is this game on so late on Sunday night BTW?). They are going to come out with focus and locked in to make a point. And they are more than capable pulling off an impressive win (like a Lavin "coached" team). Here is the current rotation for Timmeh’s bunch:

Usual Starters -- F DeMar DeRozan, F Keith Wilkinson, C Taj Gibson, G Dwight Lewis, G Daniel Hackett. Key Subs -- G Marcus Johnson; G Donte Smith.

They don’t really have true pg. However, Hackett and Lewis is a tough combination who will pose extremely physical matchups against DC and JH. I saw lot of the second half and OT against the Beavers last Sunday and I also caught their game against Georgia Tech (in which they won in an impressive fashion). From what I saw in their Georgia Tech, I think it will be extremely important for DC, JH and rest of their team-mates to stay CALM and POISED because I think it’s a good bet that Hackett and rest of this bunch will try to get on our nerves. In case anyone wants a reminder of how this bunch can play, remember what they did to Oklahoma's Blake Griffin earlier this season:

Blake Griffin hit in balls (via jt4643)

I know that's not really a shock around here but our guys will have get mentally prepared for that kind of nonsense because you can bet they will try every dirty trick goading UCLA players to lose their poise.

The other tough matchup for UCLA will be containing Taj Gibson. He scored his 1,000th career point in the win at Oregon and broke Sam Clancy's school record of 196 blocked shots. He scored 15 more points at Oregon State and now has 1,023. He is a load inside and will be a tough matchup for AA2. I have a lot of confidence in AA2’s ability to defend against the best, however, he will have to take his game to another level on Sunday night and also make sure he calibrate his game based on how referees are calling the game early on. We can’t afford to lose AA2 in foul trouble.

The matchup between JS and DeRozan will be interesting. DeRozan had 14 points and 12 rebounds in the win at Oregon, his first double-double of the season. Hopefully JS can force DeRozan to spend a lot of energy playing defense by staying on the same rhythm he found himself in second half of the Oregon game.

We will also have to be tenacious around the rims. Trojans are second in the conference in offensive rebounding. AA2, JK, DG, JS, ND, JH and the whole team will have to step up to make sure they are securing the ball on the defensive end and not giving up easy second chance opportunities to the Trojans. BTW ML might be available for Sunday night. Per Coach Howland doctors cleared him to practice yesterday:

"He's going to try and do a little bit, for a half-an-hour or 40 minutes, and see how it feels," Howland said. "I guess well have a better feeling of what he can or can't do after he works out this afternoon."
Lee said after the win at Oregon he was hopeful of playing in UCLA's next game, which is Sunday against USC.

Here is to hoping ML is fully healthy and can contribute. Having him would be a huge help.

The most interesting aspect of Sunday’s game to me is to find out what kind of defense Floyd will throw against UCLA. Last couple of years Floyd has thrown combination of junk defenses such as ""Triangle and 2" and "Box and I" to deal with the talent disparity against the Ben Ball warriors. In a Triangle and 2 defense, two defenders play man-to-man against the two best scorers, and other three defenders stay back in a zone. From what I can remember Floyd’s strategy worked against us at Pauley last year as Davon Jefferson played very effectively in the middle and his two defenders around the low blocks were covering the corner well. The strategy was very effective as it limited the Bruins to 33.3 percent shooting at Pauley (don’t forget LRMAM also went down with an injury). This year the Trojans are second in Pac-10 in FG Pct defense (.391).

Floyd has also show Box and 1 defense against UCLA. It’s the kind of defense that works against a team with an elite pg.  Four defenders sit back in zone in a standard box set and fifth guy plays man-to-man against the elite pg. In other words, Floyd might stick his best (or the most tenacious) defender against DC to put all out pressure on him. Oregon tried to double DC in second half as he was bringing the ball up court during the second half. So it will be to JH, JS and MR to make sure they are ready to help out by alleviating that expected pressure on DC.

BTW if you live around Southern California head out to Costco Center Sunday night. We need to turn that place blue.

Those are some of my initial thoughts on Sunday night. I would specifically love to hear more from you re. Xs and Os on defense. As mentioned above, Floyd does like to throw interesting combination of junk defenses to make up for the talent disparity between these two teams. If you have thoughts on what we should be on the look out for and what our guys need to do to adjust and counter with more aggression and focus, fire away.

GO BRUINS.

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Midterm Examination

As Nestor points out well, this is an important game which will be difficult to win. We have more than enough coaching and player talent to bury the Trojans on Sunday, but a struggle it will be. A Lavin-like fired up Trojan team should be expected.

I like this team, and I have been very impressed with our improvement over the last 6 or so games. Roll and Gordon, in particular, have been tremendous—and in my mind have made fundamental strides and raised the level of the team’s capabilities. Still, this will be the first game where the improved play will be seriously tested.

A win at Oregon is always a good win in my book. Always. Still, Oregon is struggling, and there is no saying where they will be at the end of the season. USC, on the other hand, will almost assuredly be an NCAA team (in my opinion). And for that reason, I think Sunday’s game is kind of like the first midterm examination in a two-midterm-and-a-final class.

With all the success UCLA has had in the last eight games (and the marked improvement), we are still looking for a good win against an NCAA tournament team. Our two biggest tests were against Michigan and Texas, and while we certainly played decent basketball, we weren’t able to get the “W” in either game. And while it is plain that we have improved and developed, it is important to get some wins against tournament teams. USC will be such an opportunity.

While it is really early to be talking about tournament seeding, I noticed Joe Lunardi had us as a three (3) seed in a bracket other than the West in his latest (or was it the first?) edition of bracketology. Based on what we have done so far, I think that is right on. In order to warrant a better seed, we need to beat some good teams.

Losing to the Trojans at Galen is by no means the end of the world, especially for a team which is really coming together (and especially when the freshman are improving so much, week in and week out). However, the loss would still be disappointing for a team with just a little bit to prove (in my opinion).

Here’s to hoping for a hard fought burying of the Trojans this weekend.

Go Bruins.

by rfirpo on Jan 7, 2009 7:57 AM PST reply actions  

i forgot that is was a usc player who hit griffin

they played us tough last two years, should be a good game.

i think their triangle and 2 in pauley was effective because we didn’t knock down shots

this team is much better at shooting from the outside than last year i believe.

by realfabfive on Jan 7, 2009 8:06 AM PST reply actions  

SUCsters

have the edge in the frontcourt, while we have the edge in the backcourt. Key will be outhustling them for rebounds (not allowing a lot of second and third opportunities), and trying to force them to beat us out on the perimeter. I’m looking for Keefe and DG to really step up in this game. If we can handle them on the boards, I think we’ll win this won going away.

by godblesstyus95 on Jan 7, 2009 8:55 AM PST reply actions  

Great Analysis, N.

I think offensive rebounding is the Trojies’ bread and butter, and I have no doubt we’ll see a lot of that Box and 1. I look for some pretty dirty play early from them—it’s part of their game strategy—so you are right on the money that “CALM and POISE” will be even more critical than usual, right from the tip-off.

Love My Bruins

by Bruingirl83 on Jan 7, 2009 11:28 AM PST reply actions  

I advise

our guys to wear protective cups during the game.

by Barnes2JJ on Jan 7, 2009 12:26 PM PST reply actions  

Yes

and when they come to Pauley, the students should all wear cups on the outside of their pants in honor of leonard “watch your nuts” washington.

GO BRUINS!!!

by uclafan11 on Jan 7, 2009 4:41 PM PST up reply actions  

Yeah

That’s why I found the comment from that “Trojan analyst” so comical.

by Nestor on Jan 7, 2009 7:45 PM PST up reply actions  

Wow

great idea we’ll get on it

by lil eg not cs on Jan 8, 2009 1:09 AM PST up reply actions  

Zone?

Since CBH been at UCLA. I have never seen him use the zone defenes. Do you guys think he would ever use the zone in the usc game? Nestor good artical.

by kyl57es on Jan 7, 2009 12:47 PM PST reply actions  

Never ever ever ever ever

With the following exception:

Never.

by Barnes2JJ on Jan 7, 2009 1:35 PM PST up reply actions  

Cheap shots

The freshmen Bruins better be mentally prepared for the onslaught of cheap shots coming their way. If they’re composed like Kevin Love was last year when that thug Gibson threw him down, then they will be fine. Don’t let Floyd’s goon tactics get to them and the Bruins win. And most importantly, the Bruins should not resort to Floyd ball… no need to play down to their level, that’s what HACKett and his teammates want.

by UCLA4Life on Jan 7, 2009 1:41 PM PST reply actions  

I'm on Ebay right now

Hopefully I’ll be able to snag something at a reasonable price.

by insomniacslounge on Jan 7, 2009 2:01 PM PST up reply actions  

you might try stubhub

Bruins @ Costco here. Going prices for upper baseline seats don’t seem outrageous, considering the matchup. Also, try googling fan code if you go that route, so to knock a few bucks off.

by bruinhoo on Jan 7, 2009 7:53 PM PST up reply actions  

Ouch!!!

That guy was hit so hard it reversed the letters on his jersey! :)

I may work with the Waves, but I'm still a Bruin!

by BlueWave on Jan 7, 2009 3:22 PM PST reply actions  

Watch out for Gibson!

I think Taj Gibson is the key to their offense. I have watched him play many games in the past and this year. I know it is not easy, but he needs to be blocked out, especially on offence. without his inside scoring, I think we will be fine.

by NNL on Jan 7, 2009 7:47 PM PST reply actions  

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