Random Thoughts On Consistency
Bumped. GO BRUINS. -N
Consistency may be the hobgoblin of small minds and academics -- but I think our biggest challenge can be summed up in one word CONSISTENCY. We don't bring all we have, every game, all the time. Or for 3/4 of the time. If we did, we'd not have to play from behind or be in close games (which run the risk of bad calls from the SPTR's). Yes, I know one can say that furd came out "on fire", but if you watched the game, they were burning down an empty building -- our D just was not there. And, yes, you can say that they cooled down -- as any team would -- but isn't it funny that they cooled down when we started to play D?
I may be wrong and this is not an "empirical" finding, but my impression of the season is that the only player who has been bringing it all, all of the time is PAA. I would say JS has been a close second. I'm not faulting any of the players, I truly admire them all, but I don't think it is hard to explain why we are where we are -- we are not consistent, not within a game and not game to game. And, that forces tough choices for CBH. For example, no one can doubt JH's talent and although some may question his heart, I don't. If anything, he's not learned to play top notch D, and that's understandable. Most freshmen take a while to learn. (Yes, KL got better, at this stage of the season, but I think the D KL had to play easier and he had Luc helping out.) What troubles me most about JH is that he seems to hold back and defer to others when he could be taking the ball to the hoop and scoring. The dilemma? Keep him in the game because of his immense promise or pull him when he's not stepping up. Just when you think you might pull him he'll drive and make an amazing, clutch shot or grab a key board and you'll say -- "Here he goes" leave him in. And then ...
ND raises the same concerns. His D still isn't there. He may be a vastly improved player, and he's having a good year, but many of their open shots were on him. So, you think pull him for DG -- and then ND buries some 3's. D or outside scoring -- if you can't have both, what do you do?
DG has been consistent in most phases of the game. And, there is one phase in which he has been the most consistent on the team. He is truly passionate about winning. Much has been written about this and last night, we had a great example. At the end of the game, when we were trying to pull away, DG standing up in the bench area waiving a towel and cheering on his mates.
ML has been consistent off the bench. He's done some amazing things. IIRC, he turned a likely turnover into a 3 -- we had made a bad pass, the ball was going out of bounds, ML went after it and before touching the ground threw a perfect pass to JS who buried a wide open 3.
MR has played with consistent intensity and focus. I think he is often under appreciated. We have been trained to see him as an outside shooter. His game is bigger than that. Last night, the best example of how he does things right was when he boxed out, perfectly, and grabbed a key rebound. If you watch his game, his D is good, and he may be our best passer to the post.
We are consistently at a disadvantage at the FT line. We took 10, they took 16. The differential was greater until the end of the game. There were a few bad calls against us -- blocks that the replays showed were all ball. And, we were going inside and drawing fouls but not as well as they did. And, then there was ND's foul on a 3 point shot ...
And, finally, there is one broadcast announcer who consistently gets it right, Donny Mac. No babble -- just insightful analysis. He has been spot on in his critiques of our lack of effort and defensive failures -- and of our reliance, too much, on the outside shot. Last night, someone in the thread mentioned that Donny Mac would make a great coach and I agree. But, if he were gone from the microphone, I'd have to pull a Fox and turn off the sound.
The ultimate "consistency" -- I love our team and this season. And, I love CBH. This may be his best "coaching" year. He's had to work so much harder to get us where we are. For example, at one point, with at least 4 minutes left, we had 3 starters with 4 fouls on them. His player management was brilliant -- great combinations of players that kept all but ND from fouling out -- and ND went late in the game.
This is a FanPost and does not necessarily reflect the views of BruinsNation's (BN) editors. It does reflect the views of this particular fan though, which is as important as the views of BN's editors.
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22 comments
Comments
Nice post.
I agree consistency is critical.
However, I am definately on board with the notion that we could never truly appreciate the defensive abilities of Prince Luc, Westbrook, and even Love until they were gone. I think our personell is just down. And I think it manifests in interesting ways. One important way, is that the loss of those guys force players who were good (but not great defenders) to now be guarding better players. Westbrook locked down the best wing (and AA before him), which allowed Shipp and Collison to guard players who were just a notch down. The result—both Shipp and Collison appeared to be better defenders in years past, because they were guarding 2nd flight talent. This year, Holiday, Shipp, and Collison don’t have someone to “take out the best” the other team has. That hurts everyone, and makes everyone look just that much worse, because everyone is guarding a slightly higher caliber of player (relatively speaking).
66—I completely agree with your take on the tough choices Howland has as to offense or defense. I think Howland made interesting choices earlier this year, one of which was inserting Drago into the starting line-up. No doubt that helped our offense, but its not like he was ever a really good defender. Improved-yes, but improved does not mean good. I think Keefe is a better defender (and let’s not forget his being out last night was important). That choice, offense for defense, was interesting.
66-Also agree with your thought on Roll. Playing his role to perfection right now—I’ve been impressed. Very solid.
Thoughts on Pomeroy Rankings:
Everyone is using Pomeroy Rankings this year (national media) included—they have become a media darling. And on this site, we heard a lot about how our offense was so highly rated, and the defense less so. Anyway, given that coaches are always making decisions like Howland is (Ex. Who to play: one player is a better defender, another is a better offensive guy), I am wondering if there is a way (I guess by adjusting for wins) to tell whether defense or offense is more important. It’s complicated, I’m sure—just something I’ve been thinking about. If a team could be in top 10 in one category, but as a result, would only be in the top 50 in another category, which would be a better predictor of more wins? Kind of interesting to me.
by rfirpo on Feb 27, 2009 8:10 AM PST reply actions 0 recs
An interesting article...
…that might shed some light on your question, at least in regards to tourney success. Pete Tiernan’s Bracket Building on BP
I think the overused cliche “defense wins championships” is pretty much right on. It’s really pretty simple – the past 3 years, great defenses, 3 final fours. If we’re going to make ANY noise in the tournment this year, defense must step it up. Our offense is certainly potent but can’t be expected to hold up the team entirely on it’s own.
To throw in my two cents – I think that this years defensive issues are really a combination of lack of effort and – I’ll come out and say it – personnel. I think Howland is beginning to realize (or has already, long before I did of course) that the best defensive rotation out there contains a number of freshmen and is thus simply not consistent. It’s an unfortunate situation because you’d love to be able to play your “veterans” in crunch time but they’re just not getting the job done defensively. Mixing and matching provides results….sometimes. For UCLA to advance this year – the freshman (ML, DG, JH especially) are going to need to grow up fast and that means more defensive confidence and effort.
Either way, I’m having a great time watching my Bruins this year.
by zinlinez on Feb 27, 2009 8:32 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
My other thought on Pomeroy's Ranking is,
UCLA at # 9. That looks good, but it just doesn’t seem to capture something that the RPI # 33 does. Another reason why I was curious about offense v. defense and which is more important.
I guess every system works great sometimes and other times doesn’t seem right. But in any case, I guess the #9 v. #33 disparity does highlight one thing—how difficult some choices and seedings are for the NCAA Tournament Committee.
by rfirpo on Feb 27, 2009 11:08 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
#9
Is still pretty impressive – and it goes to show you how efficient our offense has been this year. It’s pretty ironic that near the beggining of the season, many were bashing our offense (including D. Vitale who during the Michigan game I remember saying something to the effect that he wasn’t sure if our offense had what it took this year but our defense is always strong) And frankly, there were times, especially early on, where our offense “looked” completely out of sync – but looks can often be deceiving – hence the beauty of Pomeroy’s stats.
I really don’t take any stock in RPI – it’s a relic of a stat that is unfortunately still a prominent part of the selection system.
- shows what this team is capable of. And that offense is also why this team can be scary – if, somehow, the defense improves (or at least the intensity) we could be a dangerous team come March.
by zinlinez on Feb 27, 2009 12:09 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Interesting
That that the software decided to format it this way. Replace 1. with “#9”
by zinlinez on Feb 27, 2009 12:11 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
RPI is a relic
Of a stat. It was the BCS before the BCS…
Ken Poms stats show it all. We’re one of the tops in the nation offensively – we are in sync and playing much better than we did at the beginning of the year. But we just cannot for the life of us hold teams down in scoring.
by blinkshot on Feb 27, 2009 8:06 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
The forgotten man
I think people always remember how much we miss Kevin Love, Russell Westbrook and LRMAM. But I think another guy who could have been huge for us this year is Lorenzo Mata-Real. I wish his name came up more often, he played such great defense and really knew how to hedge. And he was a pretty scary guy to run into for anyone who tried to take it to the hoop…just wanted to send a little shout out his way, he is missed.
But hey, what do I know. I’m just the 800 lbs bruin in the room.
by tasser10 on Feb 27, 2009 9:51 AM PST reply actions 0 recs
EXACTLY
what my husband and I were discussing last night. LMR was a critical component of that team—without him rotating in, pounding away, the KL-LRMAM impact would not have been so dominant and frustrating to other teams’ offenses.
I was also think about KL’s passes..to RW, to DC…and how they would leave the opposing team behind them to the point that they seemed to be standing still on the court.
Love My Bruins
by Bruingirl83 on Feb 27, 2009 12:44 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Totally Agree
One of my very favorite all time Bruins — he brought all he had all the time. I actually see PAA in the LMR mold — both prototypical Ben Ball Warriors.
sjh
by Class of 66 on Feb 27, 2009 2:43 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
I'm worried that we're starting to get very consistent
Consistently bad, that is, on defense. Our Defensive Efficiency Rating was 115.3 last night, which doesn’t make the top 10 worst performances of the last 5 seasons, but it was the 6th worst defensive performance we’ve had this year and the 4th time in the last 5 games that we’ve had a very poor defensive rating. Last night’s poor rating was a combination of allowing a high effective FG% (56.5, 6th worst on the year) and not forcing many turnovers (12 for Stanford, and the rate of turnovers was our 8th worst of the season).
6 of our 7 worst defensive performances (and 8 of our 11 worst) this season have come in road games. We’ve played 9 road games, and in only one of them have we had a Defensive Efficiency Rating that is in the zone where we are almost assured of a victory(under 98). That was the game at Oregon State on Jan. 2 (77.0 rating). Everything else is 106 or higher. We’ve managed to go 4-4 in those 8 poor defensive games.
If we play that poorly on defense tomorrow, we have no better than a 50-50 chance to win. It’s that simple.
by BruinsRule on Feb 27, 2009 10:06 AM PST reply actions 0 recs
One of the things I've been thinking since posting this thread --
I’d like to get into the stat’s and look at points per minute played, rebounds, blocks, steals, etc and see just how much fall off, if any, there is when we go to the bench. Unfortunately, we cannot figure out how many points a player gives up on D, but I suspect that our subjective responses won’t be far off.
I’m particularly interested in comparing DG to ND. Again, I like ND and he has really stepped up and bettered his game. But, IIRC, DG was 3-4, yesterday, and played well. I think he might equal ND in points per minute. I guess the key question is how much ND’s outside shooting means to our total offensive scheme.
Once more, tough choices for CBH. These players are not all super humans and the cost/benefit analysis, at any point in a game, must be very difficult.
sjh
by Class of 66 on Feb 27, 2009 2:21 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
There is a bit of a drop off (offensively, at least)
Just how much of a drop off, in a particular aspect of the game does depend on how CBH manages the lineup, and what he believes to be important at a certain point. I am actually figuring out the /per minute stats now; from what I have so far, for example, subbing in Roll for Jrue is worth an additional .1 point/minute (1 point/10 minutes of Roll over Jrue), but Roll happens to be the team’s least efficient rebounder, costing the team ~ .7 rebound in the same 10 minute span (since conference play began).
Over the entire season to date, DG is close to Drago in points per minute, but since Pac-10 play began, Drago’s scoring advantage equals that of Roll over Jrue.
by bruinhoo on Feb 28, 2009 2:23 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
I love DG too
And I’d love to see him get more playing time. He’ll be a rock next year.
But whatever happened to Bobo Morgan? This is especially noteworthy because LSU is something like 23-4 and about to win the SEC (albeit a very weak SEC).
by Herodotus on Feb 27, 2009 2:42 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
Why is that noteworthy?
I’m not sure I follow you…what does LSU’s record have to do with Bobo’s status on the team? I doubt he would be having much of an impact on the other team either at this point. Then again, Trent Johnson did a good job with the Lopez brothers.
But hey, what do I know. I’m just the 800 lbs bruin in the room.
by tasser10 on Feb 27, 2009 3:13 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
I'm just curious
I just wonder whether he’s progressing. No one even comments on him anymore. His recruitment drew a lot of excitement, and his big body should be a big help for us. Does anyone here know what the story is?
He’s a long way from home. He seems like a good kid, and I want him to enjoy his time at UCLA and not have second thoughts.
by Herodotus on Feb 27, 2009 6:08 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
bobo
i think the main thing is he’s stuck behind aboya,nd,jk, and dg for time at the 4 or 5. he’s just the odd man out. he seems to have the traditional big man offensive game, which means the perimeter players would have to feed him after he establishes his position. and really we do not do this at all. save holiday, our guards are really lacking in the post-entry, this happened last year too which is why love expressed some frustration early on. so i think cbh figures putting in bobo would have marginal returns, so he goes with the better defenders, rebounders, and outside shooters.
i agree with H and i hope this isn’t a stanback situation because i really think he is gonna be good and will be a great if not critical asset in the near future
Across The Face
by rb bruin on Feb 28, 2009 10:55 AM PST reply actions 0 recs
Roll feeds the post very well
DC can feed the post and Shipp had no problem feeding Love last year. We have guys who can feed the post, but that’s not what’s holding Bobo back. We’ll ignore the defensive deficiencies because they’ve been covered and stick to offense. Bobo has very good post moves when he plays one on one, but has two major issues on that end of the court.
One, he doesn’t seal defenders well and work with guards to create the correct angle for the entry pass. This makes it very difficult for him to get the ball in a good scoring position.
Two, he doesn’t recognize double teams well. Even against the weak teams we played in November and December, Bobo was victimized by guards doubling on him and he got the ball stripped. He doesn’t have the court awareness yet to handle the double teams.
The good news about those two things is they’re things that can be taught. More work in practice and teaching from our coaches will teach him how to seal a defender and understand the geometry of basketball. More time on the court will give him the necessary experience to recognize the double team before it gets him and how to react to it. He has the tools, from the size, to the feet, to the hands, but big men take time to develop and he has to learn. I think he’ll get there and be a fantastic college and pro player, but that’s dependent on him putting in the work in the offseasons. Hopefully he’ll do it and his attitude throughout the year has given us no reason to believe he won’t.
by Ryan Rosenblatt on Feb 28, 2009 12:24 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
forgot about roll
he does dump it down well, but i have to disagree with rye about shipp and dc. i thought we did have problems getting it to love last year. i remember early in the season him complaining about not getting the ball enough and even towards the end in that loss to washington. he was able to counteract this deficiency by being a beast on the boards and creating his own opportunities as well as starting to spot up from deeper out for jump shots. just my amateur opinion though,nothing wrong with a lil bit of disagreement
Across The Face
by rb bruin on Feb 28, 2009 2:41 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
Agree with you
We didn’t feed Love as well as we could last year, especially considering his talent. I don’t think DC is a good post feeder, and Shipp wasn’t really playing great last year in general.
by dokein on Feb 28, 2009 2:50 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs

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