Ben Ball Roundup: Role of Emotion/Focus/Experience In March "Madness"
Let me share a story from few years ago. I just finished law school and was getting ready to start the dreaded Bar Bri courses to prep for the Bar exam. I will never forget what I heard from the Bar Bri instructor in our very first day of the class. I remember guy telling us the how getting ready for the bar exam was not a sprint yet we had to find a way to put our work every day. He then brought up the example of the Yankees (before they got all roided up in the mid 90s). He said to take the same approach for studying the bar exam that Derek Jeter, Bernie Williams and Paul O'Neil were doing under Joe Torre day in and day out. I remember how that note from him really stuck with me and I used it as a motivation in to study and prep at an intense but steady pace leading up to the exam.
So why exactly I am starting today's roundup with that story? I have been thinking about the exchange I had rye in a thread earlier yesterday about how much all the bulletin board material really matters in times like this wrt to March Madness. I think rye is right that when a team finds itself in the NCAA tournament the thought of one and done alone should be enought to get it amped up for every game. I agree with that. However, I do strongly believe a little motivation and that extra edge can always help in games like we will have on Thursday night when two teams will give it all to get to the next round. I also think this team by now understands how it is being doubted by folks all around the country and frankly within here on BN. And I think one of the main source of this uncertainty is whether this team is capable of bringing that steady and intense focus every game. From Adam Maya in the OC Register:
Moments after their victory against Washington State, the Bruins seemed to shrug off a third encounter with USC. They had pounded them in their previous meeting and saw no reason why the next one would be any different. They said all they needed was their "intensity."
After the Bruins lost in the Pac-10 Tournament semifinals, they still maintained they could have been undefeated. While it's true no one has blown out the Bruins, other teams have gotten the best of them (see Michigan, Texas, Washington, Arizona, even USC).
You don't shoot 27 percent like UCLA did against the Trojans last week simply because you had a bad game. Your opponent had something to do with it. If they fail to realize that it's not only arrogant but dangerous. UCLA should instead be feeling like it has something to prove. Not because it is a six seed and has been sent to Philadelphia. How about because it has beaten just one ranked opponent all season?
As much I hate to agree with Adam he is right. I do think our Bruins have something to prove. I do think think in years past they gave us that steady and focused effort every game leaving no doubt they left everything on the court. I am not sure we can honestly say whether they have done it every game this season.
For his part Coach Howland is counting on the experience in his team. He shared the following with Jim Rome yesterday before heading to Philly (thanks gbruin):
JR: Hey Ben, how good does it make you feel – I mean it’s a different year, it’s a different team, you’ve got a tough tough road – but, to have guys that have been there before, does that give you extra confidence going in?
CBH: Yeah, our guys are very familiar, our seniors with this situation, having played in 16 tournament games during their career, and so they know what to expect. It’s a different level of play. Obviously if you lose you go home, your season is over, for your seniors your career is over. So there’s a lot on the line.
One of those seniors - JS - is the subject of profile pieces in both the LA Times and the Daily News today. The articles note how the kid has been nothing short of a warrior battling through multiple surgeries:
Shipp needed to show even more grit in the years that followed, fighting his way back from a hip surgery that wiped out his 2005-06 season, and another in the spring of 2007.
Howland says he thinks that Shipp's occasional shooting struggles can be traced to summers spent rehabilitating instead of practicing. USC guard Daniel Hackett, who played with Shipp on a junior team, sympathizes.
"It's hard to come back like he did from hip surgery; not a lot of guys can do that," Hackett said. "Hips, elbows and knees are something you use a lot in basketball to go through screens. Every time you fall, you fall on that."
Through pain and missed shots, Shipp's expression rarely changed.
"Always, always," center Alfred Aboya said. "He's always smiling, so you never know if he's sad or mad."
Shipp explains his demeanor this way: Basketball is a game, it's supposed to be fun, so why should he sweat the ups and downs? Besides, he had a feeling things would turn out fine.
Everything has turned out all right for JS at least in terms of his own game:
"He really got in great shape in the offseason," UCLAcoach Ben Howland said. "He wasn't overcoming hip surgery, like he had been, and he really is lean." It wasn't just the body Shipp improved. He refined his shooting stroke. The 6-foot-6 Shipp entered the season a career 31.7 percent shooter from 3-point range, but he is making 43.8 percent this season and averaging 14.4points per game. He also led the Pacific-10 Conference in 3-point shooting, connecting for 54.4percent and averaging 16.3 points in the 18 contests. The stamina Shipp built during the offseason is a big reason he is playing well now. "I can feel it in my overall game," Shipp said. "It shows in shooting, but I can feel it in my defense, and with a lot of other things." Rather than folding late in the season, Shipp is flourishing. He is averaging 19.3 points and is shooting 59.5 percent from 3-point range. We are going to need JS and his team-mates locked in early on. VCU is not a team we can afford to fall behind, especially in a setting like we are going to find ouselves in on Thursday night. So the question will be whether he and his team-mates will come in with that steady and intense focus on Thursday night and maintain it throughout that game and beyond. We can see Coach Howland is counting a lot on the experience of his three seniors. Hopefully they can provide the same leadership the Yanks got from the triage of Jeters/Williams/O'Neil during their 90s run (until Clemens and others came in to muck it all up) towards championships. I am sure JS, DC and PAA more than anyone understand the nature of one and done and will play with the sense of urgency, but I am also hoping all the negativity and doubts hurled toward them will fire them a little more, giving us every extra edge we can use this time of the year. It's March. One has to be naive to think emotion and passion don't have any part of this "Madness." GO BRUINS.
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Josh
Huge props to Josh for all the work he has put in. I think it has really shown in terms of his consistency, especially with his jump shot this season. Last year, Josh was really struggling with his shooting toward the end of the season and going into the tournament, and I think we all kept sort of blindly hoping he would somehow find his stroke and provide us a more reliable offensive option. No worries this year, though. Right now, I’d rather see Josh shooting the ball than pretty much anyone on the floor.
greg in denver - UCLA guy for life
You said it
I absolutely agree re Josh. He has come in for a lot of grief over the years, from a lot of so-called “fans”. This year, everybody was behind DC for coming back from a certain high draft position and was behind PAA for coming back after he had graduated. But there was a lot of ho,hum with respect to Josh.
Here is a guy who has worked so hard over the years in terms of rehab to represent our school. It would be great if the nay-sayers could remember that if he hits a cold spot during the tourney run. Probably too much to ask, but I for one will be glad win or lose that Josh came to Westwood and battled through a very successful run as one of CBH’s warriors.
Here Here
Josh has gotten lots of negative publicity with people advocating he lose his starting spot to MR. He has come through this season for the team. Let’s hope he can get on a roll for 6 games!
What I really like is he is back to Josh of his freshman year: not always hanging out at the 3 point line but also driving the lane. I would love him to hang out close to the basket more to get more rebounds and put backs.
Go Team Go!
by Bruin Dad and Grad on Mar 18, 2009 10:46 AM PDT up reply actions
Intensity
I’ve had the opportunity to chat with Josh a few times. He is a polite, shy, and cordial who is known to spend tons of time signing autographs for the kids. His play the last month has given the team a spark. He is not settling for the 3 point shot, but driving and doing the little things to help the team.
I think the first 5 minutes of the game against VCU will be very important. I’m really looking for the defensive intensity from the Bruins. I hope and think the refs will let us play aggressive defense during the tourney. We need to set the tone early, and not let VCU feel comfortable. There is no doubt fans from other teams will root against the Bruins, so they need to come out with confidence and not give the Rams any hope.
I can feel the Madness!
by UCLA Championships Made Here on Mar 18, 2009 8:27 AM PDT reply actions
Picking Brackets by Mascot
This is hilarious. And they have the bruins doing well although they were robbed in the final four
by johnathanhaynes on Mar 18, 2009 9:27 AM PDT reply actions
I'm curious how many minutes our three seniors will see
You would think CBH would up their minutes in the tournament to take advantage of their experience, but he also had to keep in mind that we need them fresh for the end of games. It’s a tough balancing act and one worth keeping an eye on as a the game progresses.
by Ryan Rosenblatt on Mar 18, 2009 9:59 AM PDT reply actions
I am curious too!
We have some depth and should you use it to our advantage. It is interesting that guys like Rochestie and Hackett play for almost 40 minutes on their teams and they still look fresh at the end of games.
It could be that DC, AA2, JS expend so much energy on defense and offense that a breather once in awhile can only help them.
I’ve also noticed that DC has been reluctant in shooting the 3 ball. At the beginning of the year, he was shooting it a 60% clip, at the end of the year, he was not even in the top 10 in the PAC-10, JS, MR, ND are shooting it better and with more confidence than him. We need him to be confident throughout the tourney.
Who do you think is the X-factor in the tourney? Of course, the 3 seniors are super important, but who will step it up during this time? JH, MR, ND???
by UCLA Championships Made Here on Mar 18, 2009 10:42 AM PDT up reply actions
It depends
I think on Thursday, he’ll definitely try to sub as much as possible, and hopefully we’ll have a big enough lead so they don’t have to play much in the second half. On Saturday I can see all 3 seniors playing many minutes since we’ll have more days to rest (hopefully). It will be interesting however if the games are close.
But hey, what do I know. I’m just the 800 lbs bruin in the room.
Let's not forget
that Mike Roll has been through this a couple times as well and is by far the most experienced player behind the seniors. I’m hoping CBH gives him big minutes.
A Yankees example in your BarBri class??
I take it that you did not stay in Boston for Bar Exam prep, did you N.
I have some good news form the mojo department
my 1995 national champions hat has surfaced, i’ll never forget when my dad gave me the hat when he picked me up from school, its hanging on by a thread, but I hadnt seen it in at least a year!
anyway, this is a random side note but was there a big send off for the boys like there was last year? I know there expectations arent quite as great, but i was hoping these guys still got a spirited farewell.
O.A.
Imagine this, we aren't as bad as the MSM says
Found this article on collegehoops.net where they ran an oddsmaker calculation using Pomeroy’s statistics. I cant figure out how to post the chart into here, but here are the some interesting percentages of teams chances of getting to each round:
64———32——16——8———4——-2
Villanova 91.69% 50.09% 21.01% 9.40% 3.62% 1.30%
UCLA 81.27% 44.46% 24.26% 13.85% 7.08% 3.42%
VCU 18.73% 4.49% 1.03% 0.26% 0.05% 0.01%
And here is there analysis
Despite not getting much attention, UCLA looks like a team that can cause a lot of trouble, though it will have a difficult time winning in Philadelphia against Nova.
Amazing! You mean when you look at UCLA objectively instead of through bias eyes, they actually are a pretty good team. What a shocker.
stupid chart
Didnt turn out how I hoped. Also those percentages are to win each round. Pretty good odds, no?
The percentages will change for subsequent rounds as each team advances ....
depending on which teams have won and who they have to face next. What this table presents are the probabilities, starting from where we are now and factoring in most likely outcomes, for advancing to subsequent rounds. Using an extreme example, let’s say Villanova gets upset in the first round and we get by VCU. Our odds for reaching the third round would now shoot up since we would be highly favored against the 14 seed. But even if both we and Villanova advance, the odds for each of us to advance to the third round will still change, although not by nearly as much. They would then truly reflect only the projected odds for us beating Villanova head-to-head at their home-court. (As noted in this article, home-court advantage is factored into their projections. Villanova loses that boost once the games moves on to Boston.) That’s why our numbers after Philadelphia are projected higher than theirs. Interesting stuff! We’ll have to wait and see how good predictors they are, but overall I agree – these numbers look relatively favorable for a team virtually written off by the MSM.

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