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UCLA-Stanford: Importance Of Setting The Tone Early In Bay Area's "Marquee Matchup" This Weekend

Jon Wilner in the San Jose Mercury News makes a funny:

The game of the year in the Bay Area is finally here, with the marauders from down south in town for a showdown packed with conference title and postseason implications.

But let's not forget Saturday's other local game, because Cal-USC is important, too.

OK, so maybe UCLA's visit to Stanford Stadium doesn't have quite the star power, or generate as much interest nationally as the tangle in Berkeley, but it carries more than its share of significance.

After all, Stanford, not Cal, sits atop the conference standings.

UCLA, not USC, is undefeated.

Well to be fair Southern Cal-Cal game is sold out (last time we checked tickets are still available for our game, hello Bruins). The Trojan/Bears game will also be on the radar of rest of the nation who probably haven't adjusted their pre-season narrative of Cal/Southern Cal/Oregon duking out for Pac-10 conference titles, because as usual they probably haven't been paying attention beyond 9 pm EST to what keep track of what is going on around the Pac-10 conference.

So our game is going to be under the radar, which is fine with us. I kind of like UCLA flying under the radar as much as possible through this season. Still the veteran Pac-10 observers (ala Jon Wilner) are taking note of this weekend's matchup at the Farm.

Star-divide

Ted Miller on WWL posted this quick look earlier today:

UCLA (3-0, 0-0) at Stanford (3-1, 2-0)

UCLA beat Stanford 23-20 last year... The Bruins lead the all-time series 23-20 45-31-3 (HT maccabita4life)... UCLA will play nine consecutive conference games without a bye... Stanford has won six of its past seven home games... The Bruins have eight interceptions, tied for first in the conference... Stanford running back Toby Gerhart is No. 3 in the nation with 129 yards rushing per game... UCLA kicker Kai Forbath has connected on 22 of his past 23 field goal attempts dating back to last year. His lone miss came from 51 yards... The Bruins have held each of their opponents to less than 300 yards of total offense. They rank 15th in the nation in total defense (251 ypg) and 12th in scoring (12.67 ppg)... Stanford is No. 1 in the conference in passing efficiency... UCLA is No. 1 in the conference in passing efficiency defense... Stanford is No. 1 in the conference in rushing... UCLA is No. 3 in the conference in run defense...Stanford has yielded only two sacks this year, fewest in the conference... UCLA ranks 10th in the Pac-10 in total offense (301.3 ypg) and eighth in scoring (25 ppg)... Stanford ranks last in the conference in turnover margin (negative-3).

He then listed this matchup at the top of his weekend's top matchups:

UCLA at Stanford. That's strength-on-strength. There will be plenty of pads popping in this one -- Toby Gerhart plus Reggie Carter equals SMACK! Should be great fun.

For our sake let's hope Reggie and co will not wait for a series or two before pouncing on Gerhart and co. We have had three games this season and in every one of those matchups our D had a tough time getting it going in the first drive. Here were the production from our opponents first drives from our three games this year:

  • San Diego State: Aztecs churned out a 12 play 69 yard drive to score a TD.
  • Tennessee: Volns ran of 13 (!) plays for 66 yards before settling for a FG
  • Kansas State: Wildcats were able to run 9 plays for 37 yards, before ATV picked one off at the UCLA 35

Although the trend is heading towards right direction (in favor of us) in these first drives, we still need to do much better.  We can't be making mistakes on these first series like we have done in previous games. Against Tennessee we gave up a first down on 3rd and 12 with a huge 15 yard facemask. Similarly in the first game defense allowed the Aztecs to keep their drive alive by giving up two costly penalties on third downs. I think Stanford is much better than any of these teams and will make us pay even more dearly.

If we fall behind early against these guys, it will mean we will have to depend on Kevin Craft's arm, which is not a good situation. It also has the potential to really drive up the time of posession in Stanford's favor, who will try to ball control by relentlessly pounding us with Gerhart, looking to wear out our defense. So, going back to main point, how the teams come out and set the tone early will be pivotal. I hope our defense (and especially our front 7) is ready from the opening kickoff to handle the incoming Stanford attack. It will be interesting to see if they can set the tone early. I'd love to see our defense come out disciplined, focused and just flying to the ball. Instead of going through a "feeling out" process early on, I wouldn't mind seeing Chuck Bullough call some early run blitzes to smash the Stanford running game upfront.

Would be interested in hearing what you guys think. It seems like at this point there is not a lot of secret in terms of what we can expect this Saturday. It will be a matter of which team is ready to answer a physical challenge. Can't wait to find out the answer.

GO BRUINS.

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While the country may not see it yet

we know. We know how big this game is and I’m sure our team knows it too. Whoever loses the $c/Cal game is likely out of the Pac-10 race. The winner of our game is front and center. I hope Cal wins it and give $c their second loss in the conference. Man, is it weird that I feel bad about this with this whole Staphon Johnson thing? It’s different this week, though I still want Cal to win of course. trOJans will be fired up and it may propel them to a win. We’ll see but in any case… GO BRUINS!!!

"The entire world that bleeds blue and gold ... they have been dying for this." - Coach Rick Neuheisel

by uclafan11 on Sep 29, 2009 8:08 PM PDT reply actions  

Thump thump

Alright I’m nervous now, I really wanted to say that Tennessee was a better team, and I think that they are still, but after looking at the stats, I think this should be another “Thumper”.

There's no one in the world that wants to beat UCLA more than _______.

by ucla13_usc9 on Sep 29, 2009 8:12 PM PDT reply actions  

Not so Worried about Opening Drives

I meant to write on this before when people commented on how the defense was underperforming on our opponents first possession/drive.

I have very little issue with the fact that our opponents have had some success on opening drives. Most decent teams will and should perform well on their initial offensive possession. Coaches script the first 10 plays or more on offense and the unit goes over those plays numerous times in practice. These first set of plays should result in a teams best effort to score-Their best shot at our defense. The fact is, our defense has performed extremely well after the first series which is really where we should be looking. And if it weren’t for some costly penalties our Defense would have held SD and TN to no points on initial drives.

In the three games, teams have scored 5 times on us after the first drive (SDSU=1 TD/ TN = 1 TD and 1 FG/ KU = 1 TD and 1 FG) for a total of 26 points in 9+ quarters (I think my math is correct (one safety and one missed 2 pt conversion). That is pretty darn good. We take the other teams best shot in their first possession and then settle in to play some pretty stout defense.

If we alleviate some silly penalties, I would go so far as to say this defense is very, very good and bordering on great. I expect much of the same Saturday.

So I propose not to worry too much about what we do on our first defensive series. Expect the Cardinal’s best shot and then settle in for a good, hard fought, hard nosed low scoring game between two up-and-coming teams.

Go Bruins!

by Bald Eagle on Sep 29, 2009 10:24 PM PDT reply actions  

Excellent point

about the first drive being scripted and the most gameplanned. I think that another reason we have let up points on first drives is that those games (all three) were played against teams with new coaches. We didn’t know what to expect out of them and may have just taken a little time to make adjustments. (less so with KSU, but they still showed wrinkles against us that they didn’t in their previous games) Harbaugh is much more of a known commodity.
Either way, two very well coached teams with young talented guys all over. This is a game where a great game plan can make or break. Should be VERY interesting to watch the adjustments happen throughout. I am looking forward to watching this game unfold moreso than any of the previous three. Cannot WAIT.

by sponkey21 on Sep 29, 2009 10:51 PM PDT up reply actions  

Good points

However, I don’t think we can afford to give up points like that against better teams and wait to adjust. Teams will killer instincts will pounce all over good starts and get in rhythm.

by Nestor on Sep 30, 2009 5:59 AM PDT up reply actions  

typo

I have no clue if this was copied wrong or if Ted Miller missed it but the overall series is as follows:
“UCLA owns a 45-31-3 edge in the series with Stanford which dates back to 1925” – from the official press release on uclabruins.com

by maccabita4life on Sep 29, 2009 11:51 PM PDT reply actions  

Good check

I knew something seemed off with that number. Thanks for checking macca.

by Nestor on Sep 30, 2009 5:57 AM PDT reply actions  

Yeah

I thought it was weird too. Wasn’t that the score of our game with Stanford last year?

"The entire world that bleeds blue and gold ... they have been dying for this." - Coach Rick Neuheisel

by uclafan11 on Sep 30, 2009 9:28 AM PDT up reply actions  

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