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A Losing Basketball Season Will Never Be Acceptable At UCLA

During yesterday's discussion I mentioned multiple times that a losing season will never be acceptable at UCLA. I wanted to offer up some numbers from other coaches to back up that assertion.

First of all going into this season the expectations were fairly modest. This was reflected during our podcast and its accompanying comment thread on November 11 right here on BN. We had speculated going into this season that given all the departures from last year we would be looking at a season in which we would be shooting for 18 wins with few games as tossups. We were looking for a rebuilding season in which the team would sneak into the Big Dance as a lower seed and then set it up for a very good season (win in the mid to high 20s range, a run for the Pac-10 championship and a high seed in the tourney) next year.

We certainly weren't thinking about going to the NIT and most importantly we weren't thinking about a losing season. That is not being unreasonable on our part. Now as we look at a real possibility of total implosion and a losing season in 2009-10, we need to put in perspective. We have always thought of Ben Howland as one of the best coaches in the game and the internets are littered with validators from reputable sources who also back up that assessment.

So, I went ahead last night and went through the records of coaches like Tom Izzo, Jim Calhoun, Mike Kryzweski, and Jim Boeheim to see how their teams fared during their "worst" seasons after they had established themselves as an elite coach (winning the National Championship. I know that Ben Howland hasn't brought home a banner but I think it is reasonable to bring up the names of the coaches above given his incredible to run to three straight Final-4s. Well here are the numbers:

Coachesrebuildingseasonsrev_medium

Also note, that K's 1994-95 record is incomplete because during that year he took a leave of absence due to back surgery and exhaustion. Of course there are four names missing in this chart. Roy Williams, Bill Self, Rick Pitino and John Calipari. Williams and Self have never missed the dance while they were coaches at Kansas, Ilinois and North Carolina. I thought bringing up Pitino and Calipari's names is pointless given their shady and gross off course baggage. I don't want coaches like that in Westwood. So don't care about them.

Anyway, going back to the chart here are the datapoints that stuck out to me:

  • None of those rebuilding/regrouping (whatever you want to call them) seasons resulted in losing records. None
  • The coach that I think is most in Ben Howland's mold is none other than Tom Izzo (love that guy) and his worst seasons at least resulted in a winning season and a first round tourney appearance
  • Jim Calhoun logged the worst season and even that resulted in a 17-14 record which turned out to be an aberration following a decent run the next season (more on that after the jump).

So, yes I realize Coach Howland is dealing with a "perfect storm" sort of. However, at the same time he is also responsible. It shouldn't have been a big surprise to him when recruits like Love and Holiday left for the League just after 1 year in the program. At the same time he is also responsible for putting together a competent coaching staff who should be able to do a through evaluation before assembling recruiting classes to make sure they minimize the number of misfits in the program.

While Drew Gordon was an extreme case, he wasn't the only kid to transfer out of the program. We also have seen the transfers of Ryan Wright and Chace Stanback, and we will probably have more after this season. That is on Howland and his staff. Elite coaches find a way not only to bring in the best recruits but also make sure they are doing what they can to keep the motivated also doing their best to retain them in the program (See Bellerophon's post exploring the issue on retention in Howland's program). That also creates the responsibility of not just finding the most hyped recruits but also the best fit for that coach's program. 

Now, perhaps it's a little premature on my part to declare this as a lost season. However, when I look at our schedule I just don't see how it is going to be salvaged if we keep sticking to the same rotation and same philosophy which seems to have resulted in a demoralized and uninspired basketball program. I will be surprised if California, Washington, Southern Cal (who BTW are playing classic Ben Ball and are fun to watch), Arizona don't humiliate us on their home courts or at least win comfortably. Good chance all of those teams might sweep the season series. Similarly I don't have much reasons to feel confident about any of our matchups with rest of the Pac-10. From what I saw over the weekend, it appeared to me that every team in the conference is playing much harder and with more passion than the current Howland coached UCLA program. So yeah not seeing how Howland can salvage a winning season at this point. Now, moving forward I wanted to put the numbers above in context. So more on that after the jump.

Star-divide

I also looked into the records of those coaches in the season immediately before and after they had those tough rebuilding seasons:

 

Coach Team Season Overall|Conf Conf Rnk Tourney
Izzo MSU 2000-01 28-5|13-3 T-ist Final 4
Izzo MSU 2001-02 19-12|10-6 5th 1st Rd
Izzo MSU 2002-03 22-13|10-6 T-3rd Elite 8
Izzo MSU 2003-04 18-12|12-4 T-2nd 1st Rd
Izzo MSU 2004-05 26-7|13-3 2nd Final 4
Calhoun Uconn 1999-00 25-10|10-6 T-3rd 2nd Rd
Calhoun Uconn 2000-01 20-12|8-8 T-3rd 2nd RD (NIT)
Calhoun Uconn 2001-02 27-7|13-3 1st Elite 8
Calhoun Uconn 2005-06 30-4|14-2 T-1st Elite 8
Calhoun Uconn 2006-07 17-14|6-10 8th  
Calhoun Uconn 2007-08 24-9|13-9 3rd 1st Rd
Krzyzewski Duke 1993-94 28-6|12-4 1st Runner Up
Krzyzewski Duke 1994-95 9-3|0-1    
Krzyzewski Duke 1995-96 18-13|8-8 T-4th 1st Rd
Krzyzewski Duke 1996-97 24-9|12-4 1st 2nd Rd
Krzyzewski Duke 2005-06 32-4|14-2 1st Sweet 16
Krzyzewski Duke 2006-07 22-11|8-8 6th 1st Rd
Krzyzewski Duke 2007-08 28-6|13-3 2nd 2nd Rd
Boeheim Syracuse 1995-96 29-9|12-6 2nd Runner Up
Boeheim Syracuse 1996-97 19-13|9-9 4th Ist Rd (NIT)
Boeheim Syracuse 1997-98 26-9|12-6 1st Sweet 16
Boeheim Syracuse 2000-01 25-9|10-6 T-2nd 2nd Rd
Boeheim Syracuse 2001-02 23-13|9-7 T-3rd Semis (NIT)
Boeheim Syracuse 2002-03 30-5|13-3 T-1st Champions
Boeheim Syracuse 2005-06 23-12|7-9 T-9th 1st Rd
Boeheim Syracuse 2006-07 24-11|10-6 T-5th Quarters (NIT)
Boeheim Syracuse 2007-08 21-14|9-9 T-8th Quarters (NIT)
Boeheim Syracuse 2008-09 28-10|11-7 6th Sweet 16

 

In Izzo's case he followed up his rebuilding seasons with runs to the Elite Eight and the Final-4. Calhoun followed his tough seasons with a run to the Elite 8 and a 24 win season, in which UConn finished 3rd in the conference. Boeheim is the coach who flirted with NIT appearances a lot. Still he followed them up runs to Sweet 16 in 97-98 (winning the Big East Conference) and the NCAA championship in 02-03. His recent history was a bit tougher when he put up two back to back NIT seasons but both of them were 20+ win seasons and he then eventually appeared to get it together with a run to Sweet-16 last year. Looks like he is off to a strong start in this one.

So, I think we need to keep all these data points as we trudge through rest of this season. I am all for being patient and having perspective. However, I am not going to compromise our standards and somehow accept a losing season at UCLA. No way. No how.

I realize Ben Howland's first year was a losing one. However, I never counted that record on Howland because it was a result of the total decimation of the program under the previous "poser" of a head coach. However, if this year results in a losing record, Howland will be solely responsible for it. He will have to fix it without making any kind of excuses and taking definitive measures to ensure that it never happens under his watch in Westwood.

Now, note very carefully. There is no way I am suggesting that UCLA should be firing Ben Howland if we end up suffering a losing season in 2009-10. That is not the case. However, what I am arguing is that if this season ends up being a losing one, there will be no excuse for it and should end up putting Howland under pressure to not only produce a 20+ win season and a tourney run next season, but he also needs to instill confidence that a losing season in 2009-10 was nothing short of an aberration.

GO BRUINS.

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You seem to be giving K a pass for 95

Yeah, Duke was 9-3 when K waved the white flag, but that team, minus Grant Hill and Antonio Lang, won two ACC games and finished 13-18. Its safe to assume K would have finished with a winning record that year, but Duke was pretty down in 95 and 96. The 95 game at Paully showed us that much.

But I agree with your larger point ……actual “losing” seasons are not acceptable. In fact, two straight years of missing the NCAAs is not acceptable. I think that is a big knock against both Donovan/Boeheim and it will be a huge knock against Howland if it comes to pass in 2011.

I think Izzo’s resume is particularly instructive following 01. That culmiated three straight years at the FF with a championship squeeezed in the middle. In 2002, Izzo lost Jason Richardson (SOPH), Zach Randolph (SOPH) and Charlie Bell, which is comparable to anything Howland has lost. And yet ….he still went 10-6 in the B10 and made the tourney. That is what a down year should look like …..not 5-13 in the P10.

by dkbilson on Jan 4, 2010 8:10 AM PST reply actions  

Yep

I gave K a pass for the 94-95 season because he had to beg out for health related issues (although I have heard from some Carolina friends it was an “excuse” for him so that he didn’t get a losing season. I can’t go there because back surgery is a big deal). His 95-96 season was a tough one by his standards but at least they scraped together a winning season. The 95 game at Pauley even w/o K was simply incredible.

by Nestor on Jan 4, 2010 8:15 AM PST up reply actions  

The '95 game at Pauley

was absolutely unbelievable. I have not been able to attend a home game since then, but what an experience. It was especially fun to boo the living s**t out of Dick Vitale as he ran off the court, humiliated that his beloved Duke team was blown out by not just a west coast team, but by the UCLA Bruins.

Formerly UCLA Class of 86

by Class of 86 on Jan 4, 2010 10:55 AM PST up reply actions  

Also another situation to think about

After 1991-92 season during when UCLA won the Pac-10 conference and went to the Elite Eight, Harrick lost Maclean, Madkins, Butler and Martin (all seniors). The crippling blow really came though when Murray (a junior) decided to go pro. Harrick was left with a sophomore nucleus of O’Bannon, Edney and junior Sean Tarver (with transfer from LMU Petruska).

Going into this season I thought the “talent” level in this year’s team was similar to what Harrick had that season. That team started off really well but settled for a 20+ win season and then almost huge, incredible upset over the Fab-5.

Again, my expectation this year was 18-20 wins and somehow getting into the Dance. I am just stunned at what I am seeing right now. No excuses for it.

by Nestor on Jan 4, 2010 8:37 AM PST up reply actions  

I love CBH, but if he wants to be on a list with these guys he has a long way to go.

I think a lot of us like to think of CBH as someone who will eventually belong on a list with other elite coaches. Three final fours helps solidify his reputation, but given this season isn’t even over yet, even suggesting he’ll be compared to Coach K is starting to look a little dicey. K has been at Duke for almost thirty years and we can only find one 18-13 “blemish” on his card. After rebuilding his team you’re still talking 25 years of constant success!

I can only speculate as to how CBH has coached his teams to win games, but the one thing I remember about Coach K’s book is how he what he says about getting maximum effort out of everyone every day. He talks a lot about things like diving for loose balls. Reading that makes one assume that is why they have won every year for two and a half decades. I think that kind of effort is why Coach Wooden’s teams were unbeatable. I hope that CBH won three final fours because he was able to get the same kind of effort from all his players (besides the ones we have now), and that this class is an aberration, because any other system of winning that is based entirely off of Xs and Os may not work for every group of guys every year. If learning a complex system of Xs and Os during multiple years of practice is what CBH needs for success, we are going to have more seasons like this one because you can’t always get a perfect or great or even really good team.

by bruin_2K on Jan 4, 2010 8:19 AM PST reply actions  

Izzo

is a hard one to figure. He has won the very weak Big 10 conference only once since 2001, but has been to the elite 8, final 4, and championship game in that time frame…

"when you've seen how big the world is, how can you make due with this?"

by silverlakebruin on Jan 4, 2010 8:25 AM PST reply actions  

Izzo

My guess is the MSU fan base wasn’t too thrilled with Izzo after 04 when he got knocked out by Nevada. But his record stands for itself. His lows are manageable and his highs are substantial (Five FFs and Two Monday NIghts). And he does it with a model that is similar to Howlands. My larger point was Izzo came off the top of a cycle, lost a fortune and two years later, he was back playing Rick Barnes in a 2003 Regional Final. Anyone, and I repeat anyone, think Ben Howland is going to be coaching in a Regional Final next season?

by dkbilson on Jan 4, 2010 8:36 AM PST up reply actions  

Forget going to Regional Final

I think the expectation for next year should be that UCLA should be finishing at least in the top-3 of Pac-10 next season (at least) and win around 21-25 games, to set itself up for a big regular season the following year resulting in a high seed in the Dance. I don’t think a next year we should be happy with a season that will resemble Howland’s second season in Westwood. Again, these are not crazy expectations on my part. I think they are very reasonable.

by Nestor on Jan 4, 2010 8:39 AM PST up reply actions  

I think your expectations for 2011 are WAY too high

First off, I like the 92-93 reference above.

Two, you bring up a distaste for re-living Howland’s second year …. 2005. So I pose the following .. would you trade the 1/04/04 roster and signings to date for the 1/04/10 roster and signings to date? In other words, you didn’t know Ariza was leaving yet ….. but basically, Thompson, Hollins and Bozeman, with Afflalo and Farmer for who knows what is coming back plus Smith and Lamb?

by dkbilson on Jan 4, 2010 8:50 AM PST reply actions  

Can't answer your last question yet

Because I still want this season to play out and see what kind of roster with developed talent we end up with and what transpires in spring recruiting season.

by Nestor on Jan 4, 2010 8:53 AM PST up reply actions  

And?

Nestor writes:

“That is not the case. However, what I am arguing is that if this season ends up being a losing one, there will be no excuse for it and should end up putting Howland under pressure to not only produce a 20+ win season and a tourney run next season, but he also needs to instill confidence that a losing season in 2009-10 was nothing short of an aberration.”

..respectfully, if that does not eventuate?

God, it's great to be a Bruin!

by WHP '68 on Jan 4, 2010 9:33 AM PST reply actions  

Wait and see mode

That’s about it. I do think at the end of this season (if turns out to be the project disaster it looks like at this point of the year) Howland will need to make some changes and provide clear indications that he is intent on fixing multiple issues facing his program.

I have not given up on him. I believe he is a very smart guy who is well aware of the issues. However, at the same time I thought it was important to take note of exactly where we are and to make sure we put a losing season in perspective. It should never be acceptable and I do want to see a sense of urgency from our head coach and people around this program heading into next season. For now at least, I am in wait and see mode.

by Nestor on Jan 4, 2010 9:55 AM PST up reply actions  

Two words

I never thought I’d put Ben Howland with in the same sentence: hot seat.

Remember, last year, from an elite program perspective, was our “reloading” year. (A year that culminated in a second round tourney exit as a 6th seed would be seen as such by any of the current elite programs in the country.) I don’t know what you call this year. We certainly don’t appear to be reloading or rebuilding anything at this point. Elite programs rarely, if ever, have years like the one (we appear to be) headed for.

Not even taking account of what appears to (inevitably) be a losing season this year, from what I take from your analysis, elite programs (and the coaches that lead them) have disappointing seasons every once in a while, but they do not string together 3 disappointing seasons in a row. They just don’t.

Hence, if this year is followed by another disappointing season next year, either we start losing the perspective of an elite program, or we start mentioning those two words. We can’t call ourselves an elite program and keep making excuses. That’s just my opinion.

"I don't forget very much" Rick Neuheisel, 11/28/09

by Blue Me on Jan 4, 2010 9:42 AM PST reply actions  

I Have To Disagree

No way is a losing season acceptable at UCLA but to say that CBH would be on the proverbial “hot seat” if that happened is a bit of a stretch.

But no doubt we would have to have a strong showing the following year to nix any talk of that….

Los Angeles Rams and the UCLA Bruins!!!!!

by Minnesota Bruinfan on Jan 4, 2010 10:21 AM PST up reply actions  

Read again

3 disappointing seasons in a row and I believe that discussion begins. That would be next year. And remember, “hot seat” doesn’t get you fired. That gets you at least another year. I don’t think that is unreasonable for an elite program. If it is, show me another elite program where 3 disappointing seasons in a row doesn’t get the coach at least on the hot seat, no matter who the coach is.

"I don't forget very much" Rick Neuheisel, 11/28/09

by Blue Me on Jan 4, 2010 10:33 AM PST up reply actions  

Three Dissappointing Seasons ......

Got Matt Doherty fired. Three dissappointing seasons got Quin Snyder fired. And TWO dissappointing seasons got Tubby run out of Lexington.

by dkbilson on Jan 4, 2010 10:53 AM PST up reply actions  

Nestor

Here’s another reason why UCLA should never accept a losing season: UCLA had 54 consecutive winning seasons from 1948-49 to 2001-02, and has only had two losing seasons since 1948-49 (thanks to Lavin). If even Walt Hazzard managed to avoid a losing season (15-14 in 1985-86), I think Howland has no room for excuses to get a winning record this season, despite the losses to the draft in recent years.

"I never watched baseball on TV. It's slow and boring. I'm not a fan. Never was." - Jeff Kent

by Yoyo on Jan 4, 2010 10:22 AM PST reply actions  

Something IS wrong

Something is wrong with players changing schools and not much tenacity on the court. UCLA should never accept a losing season in BB. Ben Howland needs to look into himself and the program to see what is not right. It is not all the players fault. The coach is responsible for his players way of playing. He should consider what his players have to say. He doesn’t have to change but maybe some of what they say is right. He seems very stubborn to me. Anyway, I hope the BRUINS get it right and soon.

by Forever a Bruin on Jan 4, 2010 11:37 AM PST reply actions  

Patience

It is way to early to be hitting the panic button. I agree Ucla basketball should never have a losing season. But, that being said. Ben Howland is using what he has available. If you notice from last years recruiting class most of them are defensive players. Whom will develop in to all pac-10 players. The players who left to the NBA the last couple of years. Love, Farmar, Westbrook, Holiday who were all first round draft choices. The players who were left on the roster were mostly complimentary players who could not take over a game or lead for Ucla. Look who was left Roll, Keefe, Dragavic all who came off the bench…When your 18 or 19 years old and you had every one deferring to you in high school. High Schools do not preach defense either. It takes a while for a kid to adjust. I believe by the end of year Ucla will finish 3rd in the Pac-10. Go Bruins

by jaybru777 on Jan 4, 2010 11:43 AM PST reply actions  

3rd in the Pac 10??!

This year? Wow, you really are optimistic! I want some of those brownies. :)

But hey, what do I know. I’m just the 800 lbs bruin in the room.

by tasser10 on Jan 4, 2010 12:01 PM PST up reply actions  

Agree with Nestor's Conclusion

I have been defending CBH and think some of statements about individuals are a bit harsh. But at the end of the day Nestor is right, at UCLA a losing season is not acceptable and CBH will be at fault if that happens.

by DCBruins on Jan 4, 2010 11:52 AM PST reply actions  

I expect another tough year next year

No reason to think otherwise, really. Still no good PG, no good center, and anyone coming in will be inexperienced. I think we are looking at CBH’s first year, followed by his second year, then hopefully a run in 2012. Pretty bleak in my opinion.

But hey, what do I know. I’m just the 800 lbs bruin in the room.

by tasser10 on Jan 4, 2010 12:01 PM PST reply actions  

Problem with this analysis

Yes, Ben Howland is on the hot seat – in my own mind, at least!
But, I’m not comfortable with analyzing other coaches records from the pre-entitlement, pre-1-and-done, pre-Jrue-crap-season=million$nbaMoney years.
I think if a lot of the above were not occuring, Howland’s approach would be fine and he’d easily continue to be one of the most consistently successful coaches in college hoops.
His problem now is really good players/athletes expect to have fun for a year or two on their way to the big bucks in the league (dare we even include playing overseas). They don’t care about the team, they don’t care about NCAA championships, they don’t care about learning. At least, the more “elite” the hs player is, the more the preceding seems to apply.
I’m afraid there may be a lot of truth to the sentiment that Howland needs to make playing at UCLA a lot more fun and less of a grind. I don’t know if he can adapt to this.

by mplsbruin on Jan 4, 2010 12:34 PM PST reply actions  

The other problem

is that at those other schools, a basketball player can be a big deal, a hero, a star, because their campus is kind of in the boonies.

At UCLA, 2/3 of the students wouldn’t recognize someone from the starting lineup. And there are always bigger stars in the city and on the front page of the newspaper…

But hey, what do I know. I’m just the 800 lbs bruin in the room.

by tasser10 on Jan 4, 2010 12:58 PM PST up reply actions  

Guys both of you are actually probing the surface of a very important topic

I do believe in today’s world of college basketball it is extremely important for college coaches or their staff to make sure they are in close communication with the players. Don’t get me wrong, when it comes to coaches I like the old school guys like Izzo and of course Ben Howland.

However, I have heard when Howland had someone like Kerry Keating and before then Jamie Dixon on his staff, they players really bonded with them as they could relate to them. Kerry Keating played a HUGE ROLE in RW’s recruiting because he was the one that I heard had basically convinced him to hold on and wait for JF to go for pro. He established relationships with those guys early, maintained them, and then played a huge role in keeping their chins up and motivated.

I am not sure if there is someone like either Keating or Dixon on our staff right now. And it’s an issue that I really think is worth delving into (something A has opened up in the fanpost section).

by Nestor on Jan 4, 2010 1:23 PM PST up reply actions  

That sure adds to the problem... But how about another thought?

I wonder if the core of Ben’s problem might be that he needs to learn to recruit elites and know which guys are just playing him and which guys are real targets. Everry year we seem to waste time/effort on mega-star HS kids (like Harrison Barnes) who in the end never show up.
I’d say ben had no chance to learn “that” while he was at Pitt or NAriz, for sure.
Maybe this is why we are so weak in teh backcourt this year.
Thing about hoops is that 1 player means like 20% of your team (unlike FB, one guy is one position out of 22). Transition to next year could have been a lot less crazy if we had a good guy coming in behind Jerime/Jrue.

by mplsbruin on Jan 4, 2010 1:34 PM PST up reply actions  

Harrison Barnes

I had heard a decent amount of consternation on why the staff were recruiting him to begin with. Then again in fairness we read articles like how Durant was interested in UCLA or even Michael Jordan was interested in UCLA. So if he did pay good amount of interest in UCLA, due diligence required the staff to follow up. However, the question remains though whether the staff also had been preparing from early on re. contingency situation if McCallum or Zieglar didn’t work out. It sounds like from recent weeks that they have been exploring it so that’s comforting.

Another guy the staff was late on (and I believe this was after Keating) was missing out on Hardin from ASU. I think he could have been a Bruin if the staff had reached out to him and established a relationship earlier. It looks like Sendek and his staff locked in and zeroed in on him earlier.

by Nestor on Jan 4, 2010 1:39 PM PST up reply actions  

Somehow I think it's all about recruiting, and this year's result

is simply a failure.
And with just one additional guy to supplement Lamb/Smith – we’ll be back to right as rain next year! ;-)
IMHO, I don’t think Howland has given up on his defensive mantra. I don’t think he’s not looking for tough players – that might be very tough to recognize.
I’m hoping it’s a matter of improving his recruiting. I really think that has become a very new ballgame with the way the nba drafts on potential and with the way kids are coming out of hs/aau ball with a huge sense of entitlement.

by mplsbruin on Jan 4, 2010 1:51 PM PST up reply actions  

May be wrong

but I’m pretty sure CBH slow play Klay Thompson? Very good talent but we can definitely do without his pops though. I forget if his pops was the reason why we laid off him. We were also late on Deon Thompson.

I’m thinking Dixon/Keating were the “Good Cop” to CBH’s “Bad Cop” persona. There have been multiple quotes about player’s displeasure with CBH and his coaching style whether warranted or not.

by BlueReign on Jan 4, 2010 2:12 PM PST up reply actions  

Second para

My gut wants to know more on that angle.

by Nestor on Jan 4, 2010 2:13 PM PST up reply actions  

Para 2

Problem is that I don’t have any facts to back this up like inside info from someone inside or close to the program. But I do remember that players throughout CBH’s tenure have voiced their displeasure with CBH coaching style and style of play (i.e. I remember the team wanted to play more uptempo). I tried to find some of those articles I’ve read but wasn’t able to find enough to back up my thoughts thus I think it is a better idea not to post it in depth. It may come off as too “Board Messageish” for others. Or maybe I’ll just post it anyway and let people rip me a bit. :D

You noted Keating & Dixon’s ability to relate to the players in the post above. Keating is 38 and Dixon is 34 years old. While Daniels is 55, Duncan is 54 and Garson is 33. Age may have something to do with being able to relate.

by BlueReign on Jan 4, 2010 3:23 PM PST up reply actions  

The whole uptempo thing

I don’t remember any of the actual players complaining about this until last year with Gordon. Until then, it was always the lame reporters at the fishwrap or OC register complaining about it.

The only “complaint” I remember is Love wanting the ball more in the post.

But hey, what do I know. I’m just the 800 lbs bruin in the room.

by tasser10 on Jan 5, 2010 11:27 AM PST up reply actions  

I think there is one upshot to this season

that we can hope for. We have a ton of young talent on the team, and a few sophomores with some potential. If this continues to be a losing season, the one thing which would need to happen for me to take a positive from this season is to see some of that talent developed for next year. I don’t care in what capacity this happens, only that it happens.

by Captain Leebeard on Jan 4, 2010 12:46 PM PST reply actions  

I don't want to lose to $c in BB

The way I feel right now, is that $c BB is flourishing, besides their so-called sanctions, and I am afraid that they will beat us in BB the way we are playing now. I don’t want to see that happen. Our players and coaches need to dig deeper and come out playing like UCLA BRUIN BASKETBALL TEAMS ARE SUPPOSED TO PLAY. GO BRUINS!!!

by Forever a Bruin on Jan 4, 2010 12:59 PM PST reply actions  

They will beat us at least once

And have a great chance of sweeping the season series. They should. They are playing inspired basketball and I admire the effort and tenacity with which they have been playing defense. They are playing Ben Ball.

by Nestor on Jan 4, 2010 1:06 PM PST up reply actions  

O'Neill is an interesting case in point

Compare what O’Neill did with a bunch of overhyped primadonna me-first, score-first players at UofA with what he is doing with a bunch of underrecruited, chip-on-the-shoulder guys at $C.

by britishbruin on Jan 4, 2010 1:31 PM PST up reply actions  

That is painful to read

and must have hurt to write…but I can’t disagree with you.

by KSBruin on Jan 5, 2010 10:33 AM PST up reply actions  

I agree that $C* is better this year

And I am particularly bitter about it, considering that they lost three players early (DeRozan, Gibson & Hackett), lost 3 recruits to Arizona and also lost their coach. If you look at their lineup, however, you can see the difference between the standards of $C* and UCLA. The average age of their starting lineup is 22, which includes Vucevic who is only 19. The starting lineup has 3 transfers, including Gerrity who has transferred twice. Tark the Shark used to field lineups like that and Timmeh was obviously following that crooked blueprint. This has the look of a team of mercenaries rather than students. By comparison, the average age of the UCLA starting lineup is 20 if Nelson starts rather than Keefe, and that includes Roll and Drago. There are no transfers.

UCLA tried to get Stephenson twice, once in high school and again when he transferred from Carolina, but otherwise I don’t think UCLA would or could recruit those players (maybe they tried for Johnson when he was in high school, many years ago). UCLA rarely has any transfers in the starting lineup, let alone 3!

Howland has clearly made a number of recruiting mistakes to have taken us to this depth. I also don’t think this team plays to the best of its ability most of the time, for whatever reason. I think that Howland may need to recruit more widely than sticking mostly to the West Coast to find players who will play within his system. He may also need to figure out why his players don’t play harder for him more consistently.

by bruin7982 on Jan 5, 2010 11:04 AM PST up reply actions  

I just wanted to play off something SB526 brought up

in regards to Ben Howland’s image.

I think, as much as I hate him, that Calipari has already done a great job of selling Kentucky as a traditional power thats still hip and cool to play at.(obviously winning helps) Anyway, I’m not saying that Howland should become more like that slime ball, but I think he needs to come up with a few strategies to create some positive buzz around Westwood in this down season.

And just because Achilles brought up Kerry Keating in another fan post, I thought I’d share this. Just like Calipari, Keating has a website that is very up to date and has everything from a blog, to his twitter, and his bio. Pretty impressive in my opinion. This was the first thing that came up in a google search of Kerry Keating..
http://www.kerrykeating.com/main.html

Also, Tom Izzo, a guy Nestor compared Howland to in terms of the contemperary greats, has a very fancy, up to date website for recruits to check out as well.
http://www.coachizzo.com/

The first three results for CBH on a google search are his wikipedia site, his bio from the UCLA athletic page, and a Bruinsnation article that says “Does Ben Howland’s current rotation give UCLA the best chance to win?” And the article is headlined by a picture of JA with a towel on his head looking depressed.

I really think Howland, or the marketing department, or someone has got to come up with some more positive propaganda to run in CBH’s favor right now. I dont think you can rely on next years recruits to look at your past track record, I think its a lot more “what have you done for me lately”. We’ve got to keep UCLA’s image fresh.

William Doolittle at your service, a.k.a. will do.

by Ollie on Jan 4, 2010 1:40 PM PST reply actions  

Great observation O

I think you should mention the Keating beat in the A’s fanpost as well.

by Nestor on Jan 4, 2010 1:42 PM PST up reply actions  

thanks, ya I'll cut that little keating bit

and drop it over in Achilles’ post.

William Doolittle at your service, a.k.a. will do.

by Ollie on Jan 4, 2010 1:46 PM PST up reply actions  

Josh Smith

Some of the comments that Josh Smith made after committing make me believe that CBH has learned an important lesson. Although Smith will probably be a lottery pick at some point before his senior year, at least he’s honest about his goals. Based on his comment about coming off the bench to help the team next year, he also seems more interested in helping the team than certain recent recruits. If CBH limits his top tier recruiting to players like Smith, it’ll go a long way towards preventing another collapse in a few years.

by Class of 09 on Jan 4, 2010 2:00 PM PST reply actions  

I sense that

the honeymoon may be over. What are three Final Fours anyway? You still end up losing. I’ll give that Howland guy three years, tops, to right the ship and prove he knows what he’s doing. Maybe five. I think we were way too tolerant when those fine student-athletes from Memphis were jumping over us. And if you can’t win with KL and all those other superstars, when are you ever going to do it? Clearly, the man is a fraud. His day is done, his time is up, and his Twitter is pathetic.

by ReineSeite on Jan 4, 2010 2:54 PM PST reply actions   1 recs

lol

Funny way of putting everything in perspective.

"I never watched baseball on TV. It's slow and boring. I'm not a fan. Never was." - Jeff Kent

by Yoyo on Jan 4, 2010 3:11 PM PST up reply actions  

Stanback

was given a push out the door to make room. Can’t really remember who that was to make room for but lets just say the decision wasn’t all Stanback’s.

by lil eg not cs on Jan 4, 2010 3:43 PM PST reply actions  

I remember thinking that was convenient

do I recall correctly that Bobo was the last man in?

by britishbruin on Jan 4, 2010 6:33 PM PST up reply actions  

Recruiting

I realize recruiting is down. But, out of all the top teams…How many of there recruits are leading their team? I AGREE. We have to go after the players who want tradition and be a proud of playing for UCLA. But, we are attracting the 5 star kids. Who want the most exposure to elevate their draft status. Which means 1 and DONE..

by jaybru777 on Jan 4, 2010 3:50 PM PST reply actions  

to be fair...

Kansas’ Xavier Henry and Kentucky’s John Wall are leading their teams, and they are top teams. Texas’ Bradley and Hamilton are doing quite well now too.That said, I wouldn’t want to touch Calipari’s slime, but knowing that Henry, Bradley and Hamilton were once all targeted by us (some we went after more than others) isn’t pleasing

by nickramz on Jan 4, 2010 8:16 PM PST up reply actions  

I see Xavier Henry

more than most of you do, probably. He is an incredible athlete. He’ll make a few highlight reel plays, seem to be quiet the rest of the game…and end up with 25 and 10. It would have been great to see him in blue and gold.

by KSBruin on Jan 5, 2010 10:37 AM PST up reply actions  

OK,

I agree those are two very Rare players great players. But, they only can go to one University. John Calipari’s is a huge slime ball.

by jaybru777 on Jan 6, 2010 11:18 AM PST up reply actions  

OK,

I agree those are two very Rare players great players. But, they only can go to one University. John Calipari’s is a huge slime ball.

by jaybru777 on Jan 6, 2010 11:19 AM PST up reply actions  

kudos

This is one of the more level-headed posts in a while… this is obviously a down year for UCLA standards but lets take a long range view and see if talent is actually growing and developing on this current team. I agree that a losing season should NEVER be acceptable but having suffered on campus through the lizard years right after 1995 with dreams of multiple runs in the tourney thoroughly squashed by disorganized, lazy, selfish play and coaching, i’m willing to give CBH and the program some leash.

Remember that CBH’s first two final four teams were not overwhelmed with talent. They honestly played way above their star ratings. Even now when the offense is executed we’re getting good looks, we just don’t have the horses with that IT quality right now to overcome bad bounces. But my feeling is that I’d still rather root for guys that are led by CBH than those dreaming about their first paycheck.

by lilbobdog on Jan 4, 2010 7:45 PM PST reply actions  

All of the comments have been great for me...

To understand the problem with our program. My first reaction to any criticism or second guessing of CBH is to defend him. And, I do think that the coach will figure this situation out hopefully sooner than later. But the debate by this community has been terrific as it helped me to gain perspective and context. Watching games has been painful and I too have been at a loss to even begin to evaluate what the heck was happening in front of me. But, there are times, and this be one, where coaches need to coach even when they don’t have the talent to win. Player combinations, personnel packages, motivation and sheer will can get you wins when on paper you don’t deserve them. I’m hopeful, and confident, that CBH will navigate this year to a (barely) +.500 season and learn much in the process to make him an even better coach for the future.

by 281bruins on Jan 4, 2010 8:03 PM PST reply actions  

Between this post and Bellerophon’s post, the discussion on coaching has been fascinating.

I recall that before the 2008 Final Four, there was a discussion on some basketball boards about who was the best coach in college basketball. I was ready to put CBH ahead of a lot of other coaches as we were ready to play in our 3rd consecutive Final Four. I discounted Roy Williams, saying that he only won with someone else’s talent after repeatedly failing with his own. Bill Self? A history of being unable to get to the Final 4 and win when it mattered.

But now, less than 2 years later, I’m not sure CBH can be compared to any of them. Obviously, he’s still one of the elite coaches in the land, but this season has shown some utterly inexplicable events that the other coaches mentioned in this post haven’t seen.

A few points I thought about:

1) Playing against one-and-done’s. Obviously we’ve been affected big time by having played against Rose in the FF, and we all know how that played out. On the flip side though, we had the benefit of having Love on our team, which without we might not have made it to the FF in the first place (remember, that was one tough Pac-10 year). Also, it’s not like UNC, KU, MSU etc. haven’t had plenty of impact one-and-done’s they’ve had to play against in their own conference and in the tournament. So on this point, I don’t think the one-and-done rule has hurt our ability to compete.

2) The ability to retain talent. This is one issue I think we have to look hard at. Bellerophon’s post hit on this part in whether CBH is able to maintain our excellence, and this is where looking at other coaches is important.

Looking back last season, KU entered the year with a ton of underclassmen, as their championship core was gone. And yet, they made it farther into the tournament than we did, eventually losing to MSU in the Sweet 16.

Also, after UNC stomped on the competition last year and lost their core, they’ve come back this year with mostly young players and are doing quite well so far early in the season.

So on that aspect, I do have to wonder how we were able to drop so hard from last year, when most other team’s haven’t had the same problem coming back from losing a lot of talent. Is it who we recruited? Is it our system? That leads to my third point…

3) Integrating our players early. This is a point I wanted to go in on more, and is closely related to team depth. This is one part of CBH’s coaching that didn’t dawn on me until this year, but has possibly begun to rear it’s ugly head. It’s his propensity to play seniority. Obviously, we don’t know what goes on in practice and so on, but this is also an issue that we might never have had the chance to notice.

Looking back at when CBH first came in, he had a bunch of players left over from Lavin, so it’s hard to blame CBH for wanting to give his own recruits more play time. Then again, given how devoid of talent Lavin had left us, it’s not hard to see why those recruits got more play time.

Of course, it’s not like Bozeman or Hollins were skill-less – they just never had an actual coach, and we saw that they did develop, and they did still have years more of play experience under their belt. AA and JF were given responsibility early on in their careers, and we saw how far they went their second year.

What we often forget is that during our first FF run, DC and LRMAM were key players. LRMAM quickly became a key player, and DC played key minutes as well. That being said, could that have been a product of depth? With a lack of talent left by Lavin (outside of Hollins and Bozeman), and an injury to Shipp (and no real PG to backup JF), it was also sort of inevitable those two got key time.

Farmar then made off for the NBA, but DC having had some key experience and being the only experienced PG on the team, stepped right in. Again, with a thin backcourt depth chart that year, RW got some key play time particularly when DC was out, albeit also with some disastrous results (WVU iirc).

When AA jumped to the NBA, RW was able to fill right in for our third FF run season. Again, the question here though is… were many of them getting the starting job because it was the right place at the right time?

I bring this up because his is where we start seeing CBH favor the veterans over the newcomers. Obviously, Love was inserted in quickly, but his talent would have been impossible to miss. However, look at the other player’s recruited once CBH had two recruiting classes under his belt… we rarely saw Wright, Dragovic, Stanback, and somewhat Keefe etc. during their time here. Sure, part of it was that they didn’t play well with the system, but a lot of it also seems to be that CBH simply didn’t give them play time because there wasn’t a need to, as in the case of DC, RW, etc. when there was thin depth / injuries or because they simply weren’t his players.

Looking back at last year, we see exactly what happened. Aboya, Keefe and Dragovic got a lot more play time than they had ever been used to the two years prior, and we saw very little of any of our freshmen.

Until this year, I might have given second thoughts on this being an actual issue, but now it appears to be a real key issue. Some senior players are getting way too much play time for seemingly unexplainable reasons, and we rarely get to see some of our 09 class contribute.

Now I understand when a player isn’t fitting into the system or the game, and the game is close, that you don’t play someone new and risk a loss. On the other hand, looking back at CBH’s track record, it does appear that he doesn’t like to integrate young players in unless there is a dire need (usually being a depth issue).

An example of this is UNC… their championship core was good enough that they didn’t need to play any of their freshmen. But Roy Williams still played Zeller, Davis and Drew and despite losing their championship core, they have come back this year and are very very competitive. Also, looking at their other key contributors this year, we see many other players that got a lot of play time even while Hansbrough, Lawson, Ellington etc. were the key core players.

Or look at MSU’s run last year, when they were willing to integrate Roe and other young players into the rotation, or how their other key players were utilized early on in their careers. Or look at KU this year, and how they’ve utilized a one and done like Xavier Henry in…

Not just from a developmental standpoint, but from a confidence standpoint, sitting on the bench a lot can be a big big killer for young players, and certainly lead idle minds to think of transferring. And that leads to another point…

4) Our issues with depth. It seems every year, we have some sort of depth issue popping up one way or another. During our last two FF runs, it was at guard – and this year, it was at guard too. Granted, we’ve had the most turnover at those positions as they are the positions that have jumped to the NBA the most, but the other side of the depth issue is that a lot of players don’t get a lot of play time.

This ties in closely with point #3 of mine, but it seems that CBH’s reluctance to play certain players means we rely too heavily on a few key guys while others rarely get a few minutes, if any at all. Looking back, CBH has definitely preferred playing the defensive minded bigs – LMR, PAA, and Keefe were all given a lot more play time than their counter parts, largely because they were better defensively. That being said, has this has hurt the development of defense of other players (such as Dragovic, and now possibly JMM and Lane)? And we know that CBH has in the past pulled players for lapses on defense, which means play time can be hard to get down the line.

5) I wanted to just add that the point that some people have made about CBH and the athletic department making UCLA more marketable and I absolutely agree with that point. A lot of recruiting can be done simply by appearing approachable and marketable, and a lot of coaches out there are willing to market themselves, which no doubt helps their recruitment.

All in all, this year and next year will be telling to see whether the issue at hand is with our players themselves, or if there is a issue in the coaching system itself that CBH needs to identify and fix.

by nickramz on Jan 4, 2010 10:13 PM PST reply actions  

Comparisons of CBH to the elite college coaches is premature

i made this point last year in a post.

CBH success has been in turnaround situations. He got NAU, Pitt and then UCLA going after troubled years. In the corporate world, he would be knows as a turnaround specialist (though the analogy is a little weak given NAU nor Pitt were never a BB houses).

UCLA is the first year that CBH had had to transition from turnaround to SUSTAIN and MAINTAIN success. That is a different skill set that getting a program going for 4 years. This might be the first time he has really had multiple recruiting classes that had to jell together. And, because of his accelerated success at UCLA, he has more pressure and lots all the stars as noted above.

In the corporate world, it is not uncommon that turnaround specialist fail in the sustain mode.

I believe that means that CBH will need to learn new skills and tweak things that have worked for him before. He is going to need to adjust some.

But he has clearly earned the time to make those adjustments.

by Bruin Dad and Grad on Jan 5, 2010 12:13 AM PST reply actions  

Defining the problem..

I would have to say with out a doubt, I am optimistic. But, at the same time a realist. I am proud of where Ben Howland has taken UCLA bb.We had a lot of beige years with the bruins before coach howland. Coach is recruiting elite players and landing a lot of them for Ucla. Ucla went to three Final Fours. We were better than 60 Other teams for 3 years in a row. We could be cynical and analyze the program because we are FAN-natics. We love UCLA with our hearts. But, at the end of the day coaches….Coach. Players have to learn to how to play. We think because these guys are in college that they had great coaching coming from High School. But, that’s not the case. Most players have to be taught systems, how to play defense. When you get a true freshman with a High Basket Ball I.Q. it’s very rare. Now were second guessing his strategy? He might not make all the greatest decisions… I agree. I am sure glad he’s our COACH! GO BRUINS!!

by jaybru777 on Jan 5, 2010 3:11 PM PST reply actions  

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