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UCLA And North Carolina Are Not In The Same Boat

Bumping an old fanpost from N last Feburary that is salient today. UNC bounces back from a tourney less season with a conference championship and an Elite Eight. Arizona does the same. UConn essentially did the same with an unprecedented run in the Big East tournament and a run to the Elite 8. That's how powerhouse programs come back from down season. It underscores how Roy Williams is at a different level than Ben Howland, a point missed by some on BN and elsewhere last season. - A

A number of Bruin fans are trying to find some kind of false sense of comfort by pointing to the struggles North Carolina is experiencing this season. Don't do that because that is not a smart comparison. It is comparing apples to oranges.

First of all, Roy Williams is in a whole different situation because he has won 2 NCs in last 5 years. As much as I love our 3 straight Final-4s and Pac-10 championships under Ben Howland, I believe winning banners give a coach whole different kind of breathing room.

Secondly, arguing that UCLA and UNC are similarly situated this season doesn't have a lot of merit considering the plight of PAthetiC-10. Our conference arguably is going through its worst year in about three our four decades and will probably set a record this season for a regular season conference champion with most losses.  As of right now, North Carolina still has a winning record (13-10). They are number 62 per KenPom's site and are probably looking at an NIT bid. Meanwhile, UCLA has a record of 11-12, at number 116 on KenPom (sandwiched between Detroit and Utah) and is looking to close out a regular season in which it will be slightly favored in just two games (against Oregon schools at home).

Star-divide

Moreover, ACC per Kenpom is the highest rated conference in the country with a rating of .9091. Pac-10 not surprisingly is 6th best with a rating of .7940, barely ahead of MWC. If UCLA played in the ACC this season, I doubt we win more than 2 games during the regular season.

There is no shame in having down seasons in this age of college basketball, which has been ravaged by the one and done rule.UNC is having a down year. Yet, they will most likely finish on an up note without any damage to Roy Williams's recruiting credibility and his overall track record. Ben Howland will not have the same luxury if UCLA ends up having a losing season.

It will not be acceptable for UCLA to have a losing season under any circumstances. It only happened twice after departure of Coach Wooden (Lavin's last and Howland's first), both of whom can be directly attributed to the incompetency of Steve Lavin.  Even if both UNC and UCLA ends up cratering to losing seasons this year, as mentioned up top, Roy Williams will be in much better position to quickly rebuild because of his overall trackrecord in which he has shown ability to rebuild and maintain great programs.

As for Ben Howland, he has a great track record of rebuilding a program, yet it remains to be seen whether he can rebuild a program, which he is responsible for cratering on his own.  As I said, right now it doesn't make a lot of sense to look for comfort by comparing UNC and UCLA, two programs who are situated very differently this season despite their respective W-L record.

GO BRUINS.

This is a FanPost and does not necessarily reflect the views of BruinsNation's (BN) editors. It does reflect the views of this particular fan though, which is as important as the views of BN's editors.

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Besides, Roy Williams has ....

over the years, compiled an even better winning track records and stellar resume, first at Kansas, and now North Carolina, than Howland’s. The latter’s three final fours and conference championships cannot even compare, in any remote ways, with Williams’ numerous ones at Kansas and, of course, the two " ultimate " ones he secured at Chapel Hill within a span of five years.

That said, Williams recruiting prowess eclipses that of Howland & company too. Californians,every now and then, go to Chapel Hills . You don’t see too many North Carolinians, if any, come to Westwood.

Much as I tend to agree with most, if not all of what you said, Nestor, I still think of Howland enough to hope that he can pull the program out of this " malaise ".

by Htse005 on Feb 8, 2010 1:27 PM PST reply actions  

Amen

Starting to get sick and tired of the UNC comparisons for writing off our down year.

Also worthy to note that UNC has won at Ohio St. and beaten Michigan St. and Georgia Tech (all ranked in top 25), and has lost at Kentucky, at Syracuse, at Texas, at Clemson (all top 25 teams) in addition to at Virginia Tech and at Maryland. Their only loss to a “non-major” school was at Charleston (79-82).

Oh, and Roy Williams has already inked the #1 SF (Harrison Barnes), the #2 SG (Reggie Bullock) and #5 PG (Kendall Marshall) for next years class, so I doubt UNCs decline will last longer than 1 year.

"I don't forget very much" Rick Neuheisel, 11/28/09

by Blue Me on Feb 8, 2010 1:31 PM PST reply actions  

Not looking for a false sense of comfort

But I think there are some similarities here, and other factors which contribute to why we are not similarly situated.

I do agree that Huckleberry Hound deserves more leeway than Howland does, precisely because he did win two titles. A good buddy of mine who is a UNC die hard says that he would forgive 5 bad years. But a big reason why UNC won last year was because he was able to convince guys like Hansbrough, Lawson and Ellington to stay as long as they did. For whatever reason, Howland has not been able to do the same with guys like Love, Westbrook, LRMAM, etc. I recognize that Love and Westy were both high lottery picks so for them to say no to the money would have been harder, but had Howland held on to those guys, it might have been us winning the title last year, and not UNC, and the comparison would be reversed. Yes, we could have won the title the year before but for some questionable coaching by Howland, but I digress.

I also cannot refute the comparisons you make regarding the conferences. There’s no question things would be uglier if we traded places with UNC right now.

But I just keep going back in my mind to the way the Class of 2008 has crippled our beloved team, and I think it’s also partly to blame for what is going on at UNC. As I have mentioned elsewhere, we just had more eggs in the 2008 recruiting class basket, and so we’ve been hurt more… a lot more. Roy snagged Larry Drew Jr. in that class, and though admittedly I haven’t watched UNC that much this year, I don’t really think he’d be much of an upgrade over our very thin and very untalented backcourt.

I’m not in any way trying to write off our down year. I don’t think there is any way to heal the wounds from this year in the near term. And UNC’s down cycle will not last as long as ours, since in every recruiting year other than 2008, UNC and Roy have recruited better than UCLA and Howland.

by BruMase on Feb 8, 2010 1:36 PM PST reply actions  

UNC recruits better because.....

it’s just my own thinking now. Most of the media tend to be ACC and Big East biased. They gave those conferences more credits than they deserved sometimes. When you have people the caliber of Dick Vitale, Brent Mushberger, Seth Davis etc. that seemed to think their ESPN, CBS sportscaster job is an extension of the press relations departments of those programs, it does give those schools additional advantages in so many ways.

For us, we have Steve Lavin giving us phoney homage to our program, often time with his partner Brent Mushburger faking empathy and singing his patented praises about our traditions at the same time. No wonder they got the #2, #5, # 7 or what have you perennially.

by Htse005 on Feb 8, 2010 2:28 PM PST up reply actions  

Media exposure is certainly a big factor

But don’t ignore the fact that UNC/Roy might be a better recruiter, or he might play a style that player’s like more

I’ve said it before – you can certainly question Roy Williams’ success as a coach in terms of player development, developing potential, seeing player’s succeed at the next level due to their success in his program, his in-game X and O’s, etc. – but it’s hard to question the fact that he’s won 2 NC’s in 5 years and has never had a losing record in his career.

by nickramz on Feb 8, 2010 2:30 PM PST up reply actions  

Now, Nickramz, honestly speaking

Much as I still think I can support Howland, he is definitely not in the same league as Roy Williams is in all those areas you listed. You are comparing PHD with Bachelor’s Degree, really.

by Htse005 on Feb 8, 2010 2:38 PM PST up reply actions  

I was told that we had Larry Drew signed up

but were impatient and signed JA instead, taking the sure thing.

by 75NatChamps on Feb 8, 2010 2:14 PM PST reply actions  

Larry Drew

He’s not exactly setting the world on fire at the moment.

by SuperBruinMan on Feb 8, 2010 5:03 PM PST up reply actions  

Never mind, never ever mind

about what that former Bruin headcoach said in just about anything whatsoever. Our AD Guerrero shoudl have docked his severance pay even, if Guerrero ever found a way to do it of course.

by Htse005 on Feb 8, 2010 2:35 PM PST reply actions  

Guys

If you want to disagree with the analysis presented above with datapoints and other applicable precedence that is totally fine. However, if you respond with just outright attacks, and blind defense of Howland, your comments will be deleted. Moreover, if you keep posting short comments offering up stupid arguments like “have you ever played the game” or “coached the game” without countering the arguments (much like we read from Dorrellistas over the years), you will be gone.

We don’t have patience for blind morons on BN. Thank you.

by Nestor on Feb 8, 2010 3:07 PM PST reply actions  

Wow

Nestor, I never said anything about “never playing/coaching basketball” and i backed up my statements about your comparisons of Roy and Ben.

Why the deletion? Because of the “Negative Nestor” title? How is that an attack?

by Yorbington on Feb 8, 2010 3:15 PM PST up reply actions  

The coaching line wasn't from you .. it was from others

But the comment you wrote did nothing to “back up” your counter argument except to attack the post above.

by Nestor on Feb 8, 2010 3:38 PM PST up reply actions  

Yes, I am looking forward to that too

In my mind, I keep telling myself that what we see now can be nothing more than a letdown, some momentary tumoil for Howland’s program. Indeed, LATimes reported positively about UCLA’s incoming recruit, Mater Dei’s sharp shooting guard Tyler Lamb and his keen desire to come help his future team at Westwood.

If he lives up to such advance billing, and Josh Smith dominates the way he is hyped, the malaise would dissipate and Westwood’s basketball universe, in the words of Bill Walton, " be restored in the proper order ".

Nelson will be a reliable scorer and rebounder under the basketball when his game improves, as expected. Honeycutt’s game seems to be on its upward trajectory already. This is our core for next year and beyond.

Nothing we can do about early departures. Tell that to Duke, UNC, UConn and the likes, I am sure we will hear the same story. But let’s not have what we cannot control dampen our support, at least not yet, of our team and the guy in charge. I trust the judgement of our AD Guerrero when he zeroed in on Howland and Howland only after dismissing that pitiful one. Then he sat at courtside during one of the preseason debacles, doled out ringing endorsements of his coach at the same time when the onslaught unfolded barely several yards before him.

Even with someone like LATimes’ Bill Plaschke, whom I nicknamed Billie Pleishette ( because he just might be one of “those closeted ones” ), Guerrero sounded no less glowingly about Howland too. There just cannot be all that smoke without substance.

by Htse005 on Feb 8, 2010 3:27 PM PST reply actions  

Are you blaming us for dampening the enthusiasm?

Was it us responsible for those losses to Cal State Fullerton and Portland?

Again, none of us (especially the frontpagers) are asking for Howland’s head? We are raising serious questions. If that dampens your spirit for UCLA basketball, then tough. DONT READ US.

by Nestor on Feb 8, 2010 3:40 PM PST up reply actions  

Roy v Ben

This was written in previous post that was deleted;

Roy 7 years older

In 15 years he never won a title at Kansas

2005 UNC championship had 3 future NBA first round picks that he inherited (May, Felton and McCants)

Until I read your last post, I (and possibly others) felt like you were asking for Howland’s head.

I am glad you cleared it up, I"ll be able to read your posts with a better understanding of where you are coming from.

by Yorbington on Feb 8, 2010 3:50 PM PST reply actions  

What was Roy's record at Kansas?

How many Final-4s did he take Kansas to?

And in what post … what sentence … I was “asking for Howland’s head”? Can you point it out? Thanks.

by Nestor on Feb 8, 2010 4:02 PM PST up reply actions  

Hey I will answer it for you

Roy’s record at KU was 418-101 (.805). He went to 4 Final-4s, 1 Elite Eight, 4 Sweet-16s, won 9 conference titles, and are you ready for this never missed the tourney or had a losing season.

So what he is experiencing in UNC is an aberration and yet he will most likely have a winning season and go to some post season tourney.

The way it’s shaping up for UCLA this season, we wouldn’t go to a tourney, even if it was expanded to 96 teams.

Of course the points above are only being made to refute the absurd UNC/UCLA comparisons not to advocate for Howland’s firing.

So can you point me to the post where yours truly or any of the frontpagers of BN advocated for Howland’s firing?

by Nestor on Feb 8, 2010 4:07 PM PST up reply actions  

Roy

4 Final fours in 15 years at Kansas.

Never had to deal with One and done’s.

“Felt like” means “felt like” not you are asking for Howland’s head. You know the difference in that statement.

Like I said before, that’s how I’ve been interpreting your posts since this season has gone downhill, now that you have refuted that I have a better understanding of what your frustrations are and where you are coming from.

by Yorbington on Feb 8, 2010 4:10 PM PST reply actions  

He might have never had to deal with One and done's

But he never produced a losing season. We don’t care what that circumstances are, it will not be acceptable at UCLA.

As for the point of the post, the current comparison between UCLA and UNC’s situation doesn’t apply and bringing up what he did at Kansas doesn’t help to refute that assertion.

If people are not reading closely and can’t discern that we are not advocating Howland’s firing, then they probably should stay away from commenting (because it makes them look ignorant and uninformed).

by Nestor on Feb 8, 2010 4:17 PM PST up reply actions  

Nestor

More time, that’s all I’m asking for Ben. That is all. I have said in the previous two posts that I now understand where you are coming from but you can’t let it go.

Really appreciate being indirectly called ignorant and uninformed.

Feels good to be loved by my fellow Bruin grads.

by Yorbington on Feb 8, 2010 4:47 PM PST reply actions  

Uh yeah ...

And we really appreciate “fellow Bruin grads” not reading what we are writing closely enough before firing off uninformed comments about what we are writing.

You expect us to show respect for people giving uninformed feedback when they are not showing the respect to read us closely and figure out the nuanced observations we are laying out? If people are not going to read what we are writing closely to launch pre-emptive attacks or whining, then we don’t want those kind of shallow feedback here on BN. We have made that point in this community over and over again. Shouldn’t be that difficult to understand.

by Nestor on Feb 8, 2010 4:57 PM PST up reply actions  

What's the answer?

I found BN when I was looking for a way to air my frustrations during that period when we had no actual head football coach. The answer to the problem then was clear. We needed to hire a real coach. The debate was more about when the pretender should be fired rather than if he should be fired. I was part of the faction that said he should be fired instantly, and indeed during a game if it couldn’t be done quicker. I believed that every minute the man in the empty suit stayed in command would cause a year of rebuilding. Coach Neuheisel is just now getting us out from under the legacy of the reign of error.

I don’t think I have seen anyone who thinks Coach Howland should be replaced. His record until now has been pretty good, and the horrible way the team has played this year looks even worse because we all can’t help comparing this team to Coach Howland’s great teams.

I don’t know what the answer is. It’s easy to tell Coach Howland to coach better, or to figure out a way to have our guys make free throws better than a junior high team, or things like that. But what specifically do we ask him to do (other than keep Rag on the bench). I got nothin’, Bruin brothers and sisters. I see nothing to be gained by feuding within the family, or by comparing Coach Howland to other coaches and UCLA to other teams. We have a team that’s broken, and I have no answers. Fortunately, we have some real coaching talent making contributions to the BN, and I would welcome comments from some of these people.

by Fox 71 on Feb 8, 2010 8:40 PM PST reply actions   1 recs

The answer is clarity

There were signs even in Howland’s 1st season that this was a program on the rise. There were subtle and not so subtle signs that pointed to improvement and development. That carried over to the 2nd season, and by his 3rd season, we were playing at an elite level. I think we should all be looking for those same signs that we saw early in Howland’s tenure.

The current vitriol is vastly different than what we saw during the Dorrell era, where nearly everyone was convinced that he was not the right guy, and hence every win felt like a catch 22. I think most everyone is willing to give Howland another year before even putting him on the hot seat. Dorrell was never a proven winner either before or during his tenure, and hence found himself on the hot seat by year 2.

Of course, whether we want to admit it or not, our expectations for football and basketball are much different.

I don’t have the answers either. I sincerely hope that Howland can figure it out.

"I don't forget very much" Rick Neuheisel, 11/28/09

by Blue Me on Feb 9, 2010 7:04 AM PST up reply actions  

One quibble

I wouldn’t characterize honest questioning of Howland as “vitriol.” It might appear as such to blindos and blind loyalists who are into “authority worshipping” but to a reasonable person this is all about discussing the issues out in open.

by Nestor on Feb 9, 2010 7:22 AM PST up reply actions  

+1

Vitriol is personal, implies hatred. Of all the posts that have been written about basketball, I have yet to read one that directs hatred toward CBH or asks for him to be fired. We all just want him to do some things better and get out of this funk. I truly like the man and want him to do well because he has given us some great years and he loves UCLA and its basketball legacy. I just think he needs to make some tweaks and adjustments.

But hey, what do I know. I’m just the 800 lbs bruin in the room.

by tasser10 on Feb 9, 2010 11:16 AM PST up reply actions  

while i agree that we are much worse than unc this year

and they have more of an excuse coming off a banner year..

we have shown some improvement over the season in results and how the team appears to be playing, whereas unc is looking worse at this point than the team that beat michigan state and ohio state in early non-conference games

by realfabfive on Feb 9, 2010 10:34 AM PST reply actions  

True, but

that improvement was at the expense of our man-to-man defense, whereas UNC is still trying to play its game. Our new defensive strategy has a lower ceiling and doesn’t prepare the team for next year, whereas UNC could still “get it” and will at least have experience for next year.

But hey, what do I know. I’m just the 800 lbs bruin in the room.

by tasser10 on Feb 9, 2010 11:19 AM PST up reply actions  

i agree in part

but hypothetically if we went to a work towards next year scenario and put seniors (minus roll) on the bench mostly, and played man with lane, moser, bobo, anderson, lee, rn, th.. we might have a 5-15 record right now. how would that sit with us fans? i might be ok with it, some people looking at the big picture may also, but maybe this was one of howland’s dilemma’s in his delaying the switch to the zone..

who knows maybe howland learning to coach a zone, and switch/mix-up defenses might be beneficial in a year or two when we hopefully have a good team

by realfabfive on Feb 9, 2010 11:51 AM PST up reply actions  

I really have no idea

CBH seems to be having a hard time figuring it out, so I have little hope of doing so myself!

But hey, what do I know. I’m just the 800 lbs bruin in the room.

by tasser10 on Feb 9, 2010 1:44 PM PST up reply actions  

No, No, No....... please

Bobo possesses raw skills befitting a community college project. Anderson is a YMCA team captain, bar none. And I hate to even try to envision what the rest is like. To start them is tentamount to Howland attempting to surpass the magnitude of those monumental losses Steve Lavin incurred

by Htse005 on Feb 9, 2010 3:29 PM PST up reply actions  

Yes, tasser10, that much we know

This season really puts Howland under the microscope the likes of which he probably never imagined, experienced nor anticipated.

It sure looks as though he missed his confidants and lieutenants from his days at Pitts to strategize and regroup. But then he hired the replacements too. However way the current season ends, we all know he won’t go wrong to prepare for next season with Nelson & Honeycutt as the priorities.

I know most of us feel the same way. I’ll be the first one to be up in arms if, out of desperation for short term fix, bring in another European player unless they have his birth certificate verifying his status of being a Tony Parker or Dirk Nowitzsky clone.

by Htse005 on Feb 9, 2010 3:21 PM PST reply actions  

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