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Around SBN: The Worst Team Ever Projected?

Hoops Game Day Roundup: Schizo Ambivalence Over Howland's Inconsistent Bruins

Bruins are still alive in 2009-10 basketball season yet I can't get past a feeling of ambivalence and dread. This if course goes totally against this post from last night exhorting the students to get out to Staples (the call also applies to all the alums and fans). Our inconsistent and pathetic season on the court have turned all of us into total schizophrenic fans observers the court.

Part of me doesn't want to care at all given I don't see much of chance for the Bruins prevailing against the Bears (22-9, 13-5). The Bears roll into this game after a thorough 90-74 demolition of Oregon Ducks in Ernie Kent's last game. The game was more lopsided then the final score indicates as the Bears were pretty much perfect until Monty took out his starters early in the first half. Jerome Randle was on fire as he scored  all of his 22 points in the first half. He connected on all of his 8 FG attempts which included 4 bombs from the 3 point lines. The Bears bombed the Ducks into oblivion early on by making 9 3 point shots in the first half. Randle got more than enough help from Patrick Christopher, who scored 21, making 5 of 9 3 point shots.

I just don't see Bruins all on a sudden playing smart defense and patient offense against this kind of well coached team for 40 minutes. Yet another part of me is going to force me to watch the game after reading about the pep talk Michael Roll gave before yesterday's game:

[Bruins] expressed their will against a team that had swept them during the regular season by taking senior Michael Roll's pregame words to heart: "I just want to keep playing," he told them. [...]

The Bruins (14-17) shot 53% and, despite a resume that would suggest UCLA might stand for Ugly Collapse, Lost Again, held off an Arizona team that pulled to within 58-55 with eight minutes left.

The Bruins, who shot 62% from the free-throw line this season, made five of six down the stretch to fulfill Roll's request.

"I told them, ‘Whether it's clapping on the bench or coming in and taking a charge, do something to help the team,' " said Roll, who had 18 points. "I'm not ready to go home."

Roll started things off by sinking a three-pointer to give UCLA a 3-2 lead. The Bruins never trailed from there.

"Mike doesn't say much, so when he does we listen," freshman forward Tyler Honeycutt said.

Hard not to feel inspired by that and feel for Mike when you read that today. Yet the realist in me sees all the good vibes getting wiped out by a heaping cold dose of reality courtesy of Mike Montgomery's Bears.

Star-divide

I really have no idea how the Bruins can beat the Bears this afternoon. Yes, we got one against them at Hass. However, we got pretty damn lucky considering it looked the Bears were totally overlooking us and came in not ready to play. They were very lethargic that evening, making only 2 of their 18 3 point attempts.  Yet thanks to the defensive debacle on our end were able to stretch it to overtime. It took a miracle bank from Jerime to Roll to win this game and I don't see how we replicate that all over again. When they came to Pauley, they were true to their form as the best 3 point shooting team in the conference (.377), connecting on 10 out of their 24 3 pt attempts. That game wasn't close even though the Bruins got out to a good start.

While the Bears were hot at Pauley and have been hot from the 3 point the line, another huge difference between the two games was how Monty extended his perimeter defense at Pauley to completely choke and bottle up our backcourt. The Bears athletic back court of Randle, Christopher put intense ball pressure on Malcolm Lee and Roll (Jerime only played for 10 minutes while Mustafa logged 7) which we didn't have any answer for and couldn't adjust to in the second half. Heading into tonight's game, I don't see how that scenario changes given how much of grove both Randle and Christopher are in, and the kind of support they have been getting from players such as Jamal Boykin, Theo Robertson, Omondi Amoke and Jorge Gutierrez.

Jorge is a scrappy and defensive oriented pg who comes off the bench and provides them with a big lift. He is a great 3 point shooter from the outside (at least number wise). So he doesn't seem like any kind of offensive liability and from the games I have watched he seems like a fearless kid who has no problem taking it straight to the rack. He sat out our first game against them and the Bears looked like a different team with him in the lineup when they came to Pauley.

So if you were to look strictly along the line of matchups, the Bears should be the overwhelming favorites tonight. They are more athletic than us and they have lot more quality experience in their four seniors compared to what we have in Michael Roll and Nikola Dragovic (who still plays like a high school sophomore).  Yet there might be a little glimmer of hope for the Bruins. It was interesting to see the Bruins mix it up with both zone and man-to-man yesterday afternoon.  Not sure how Ben Howland is going to get our guys prepared for the Bears but who knows he might pick up something for Craig Robinson's Beavers who seemed to stifle the Bears with his 1-3-1 zone defense.

I am not suggesting Bruins all on a sudden try out a 1-3-1 zone. I do think it could be interesting if the Bruins  tilt their zone defense with special attention on Randle's side of the court. It would be very important for the Bruins to make sure Randle doesn't have any kind of separation when he is launching his long bombs.  If the Bruins can play hard aggressive defense against him, they could make it interesting because he sometimes tend to get frustrated (although he has been on fire of late). Similarly the Bruins cannot lose track of Christopher on the other side like they didn't forget about Kyle Fogg.

On the offensive end, it is going to be all about being patient (I wonder how many times I have used that word this season), unselfish and setting each other up for good shots. It means the Bruins will have to work on running the clock (effectively) and not take stupid 3s with 15 seconds or more left in the shot clock. They should also look for Reeves Nelson down low. In fact we should try to get Rags positioned down low. The clown is a tall 6'9 clown after all and he is a good FT shooter. So why not feed him down low. What was encouraging yesterday that Nelson was not only getting his points but he wasn't a total black hole in the low blocks like he has been the entire season. So if the Bruins can focus on being smart and patient, playing with tenacity for 40 mins, well we could have a shot.

Then again, all of this is academic  if  Christopher and Theo Robertson are hot (and they scorched us last time at Pauley). The Bears simply looked unstoppable last night and I am not sure how they can come out and get off rhythm in less than 24 hours. Plus you can bet Monty is going to chomp at the idea of taking advantage of Rag's 35+ mins and shred our defense.  We can probably assume that Jerime is going to follow up his average performance last night with his usual lost and confused form that has been the norm most of the season.

So like I said above it is hard not being schizo about this basketball team. Still I chuckled at this line from Rag that was in the topline of today's LA Times:

"My dad just called me," UCLA senior forward Nikola Dragovic said. "He asked me how come we don't play like that all the time."

What else is left there to say?  The tipoff is scheduled for 6 pm PST. The game thread will go up about half an hour before tipoff.

GO BRUINS.

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I agree too

Do you read Bruins nation? What do you think about how they attack some players, mainly dragovic, should fans ever talk about student athletes in a negative attacking way? I can’t stand it. Thanks Gregg. – Gregg
I had a lengthy twitter debate (wow, doesn’t that sound cool) with the BN guys, and we came to an amiable accord about my role and their role. I don’t think they understand what my job is. I understand theirs, though: the voice of the frustrated fan. I’m not a fan of the personal attacks or the nicknames, but I get their anger and disappointment. I think there are ways to better channel the frustration, but I get it.

by shabdul on Mar 12, 2010 6:12 AM PST reply actions  

Hi, I'm Earth.

Have we met?

"The entire world that bleeds blue and gold ... they have been dying for this." - Coach Rick Neuheisel

by uclafan11 on Mar 12, 2010 10:18 AM PST up reply actions  

Concur

At the end of the day, these kids are teenagers, and we forget that. Yeah, our expectations are high, very high…especially cuase this is UCLA baseketball, and we’ve had a good run of success here, but c’mon, I know Dargo is a, well, “darg” most of the time (to watch him miss all those three’s)…but in the grand scheme of things, we need to keep perspective.

Okay, having said that, I’m as frustrated as everyone else. Let’s just keep in mind that we’re dealing with student athletes, all pretty much very good kids who represent the university well (yes, I know, drago has had is challenges)…but we’re fortunate on balance to have what I believe are the best student atheletes anywhere.

I’m pulling for an upset tonight. Not likely, sure…but if you’re a true fan, you have to believe. Heck, Mike Roll believes!

by jraucla on Mar 12, 2010 6:59 AM PST reply actions  

Papa Dragovic has the quote of the year

That is too funny. Its just a shame that no one on this team played with urgency until it was actually do-or-die. It makes you wonder if they just put it in cruise control when it became obvious that they wouldn’t be an at large team and everyone started talking about the tournament being their only chance.

by bruinponcho on Mar 12, 2010 7:10 AM PST reply actions  

Yeah and when I first read it

I misread the “we” to “I”, thinking papa ND was talking about ND. Guess it wishful thinking on my part. I started to fanpost it, then reread it.

ND hustled on defense yesterday and it made a difference. Sigh. Well, here is hoping CAL chokes for the good of the PAC 10 so the PAC 10 can get another team into the Tourney. Of course, that choke by CAL could come on Saturday as well.

by DCBruins on Mar 12, 2010 9:32 AM PST up reply actions  

Who cares about the rest of the Pac 10

Our conference really only deserves one bid, so if that’s what we get, then that’s what we’ve earned.

by Tydides on Mar 12, 2010 9:55 AM PST up reply actions  

Wrong!

When the Bruins win tomorrow against UW then the Pac 10 will take 3 teams to the tourney!
UCLA, Cal and UW!

by trublubruin on Mar 12, 2010 10:25 AM PST up reply actions  

(meaning in your scenario)

Perhaps in shabdul’s world that would get three Pac-10 teams to the NCAAs. Not where the rest of us live.

by KSBruin on Mar 12, 2010 11:25 AM PST up reply actions  

My memory of last game

was that Cal was just the better team.

 The good news is that Cal is unlikely to shoot 55% on 3pts, as they did against the Ducks, and should revert to their season average which is still very good at .38. The other good news is that CBH has seen Cal twice, so game planning for back to back games shouldn’t be an issue.

The bad news is that the game plan didn’t work so well the last time. Last game Robertson dominated in the paint. W’ell need to double team him in the post, and prevent a kick out to Randle. Christopher also had 20 last time, so there’s more trouble to worry about.

On offense, MR needs to continue his hot shooting, RN will have to make a high percentage of shots in lane, ND will either have to forgo the 3pt shot, or miraculously hit a high percentage of them. TH will have to stay out of foul trouble, continue his awesome rebouding and hit some shots. ML will have to stay in front of Randle and keep him from penetrating.

Most importanlty, ML, MAM, and JA will have to find a way to bring up the ball and lead the offense without an extraordinary number of turnovers. BL will have to shake off a turnover filled performance and make some contributions. Bobo will also have to have some minutes to spell the front line.

Any team in the Pac10 can beat any other. This team has losses to USC, Arizona and Oregon State on its resume. If we are hot shooting and can keep the turnovers to a minimum, we can win. But its a tall order.

We are alive and fired up. We can do this. Go Bruins.

by 75NatChamps on Mar 12, 2010 7:31 AM PST reply actions  

Hmmm...

“He’s (RN) basically playing like football player out there with no pads,” UCLA guard Malcolm Lee said. “I kind of feel sorry for the other team because you’re going to get elbows, you’re going get banged up and you’re going to leave the game with bruises.”

I kind of feel sorry for the Bruins and Bruins fans because it sounds like they start soft players who don’t seem to really want to win games. Does he think the other teams felt “kind of sorry” for RN when they bashed his face in numerous times during the course of the season?

by waters96 on Mar 12, 2010 8:11 AM PST reply actions  

Its going to be tough

They have a devastating perimeter attack. If we can have TH stay out of foul trouble, and Reeves, Lane and Drago can be a force in the middle, we might have an advantage inside. I know in our victory drago and roll combined for some nice 3pt shooting, but if we have a chance we better not try and have a shoot out against Christopher and Randall. Randall hit a 3 yesterday at the start of the game from 30 ft, he came out blazing, malcolm needs to lead the charge and try and contain them from outside. If we go to the Jerime Anderson back turned to the shooter zone play, we are finished.

by realfabfive on Mar 12, 2010 8:44 AM PST reply actions  

Damn, I'm going to miss MR

He may not be the most athletically gifted player, but he’s been one of my favorite Bruins for attitude, effort and character. It’s a shame he got screwed with his foot injury and couldn’t fulfill his role with a completely stacked team (KL et al.).That would’ve been something special. Even then, he was on the bench pumping up the team the whole season.

I’m glad to hear that he filled a mentor role with RN — just wish others had taken more of a shine to what he could teach them. He and JK deserved to go out on a better note. Here’s hoping they get another good effort from the whole team and get another chance to wear the blue & gold.

by andrewsm78 on Mar 12, 2010 8:47 AM PST reply actions  

Wish I could be positive about tonight.

Cal pressure defense + JA trying to bring the ball up = recipe for disaster. If they press, which they should, we’ll need to have MR, MAH, or even TH bring the ball up, or we’re screwed.

Worth an actual link to the fishwrap if only for this quote:

a resume that would suggest UCLA might stand for Ugly Collapse, Lost Again

by KSBruin on Mar 12, 2010 8:48 AM PST reply actions  

Play in game

Not to get too far ahead of ourselves, but I was just thinking, if by chance we do win the next two games and get a bid to the NCAA tournament, would we be put in the play-in game between 64 and 65. I cant imagine us getting any higher than a 13 or 14 seed and the play in game is sort of embarrassing, but it would give CBH a chance to get to .500.

By the way,I was laughing out loud the entire time I just wrote that.

by bruinponcho on Mar 12, 2010 8:54 AM PST reply actions  

Response

LOL (and yeah I laughed out loud too … really). It is going to end tonight.

by Nestor on Mar 12, 2010 8:56 AM PST up reply actions  

On the .500 thing (again...)

We’re now 14-17. Winning the league (all hypotheticals from this point, as I’m with Nestor on this one) would make us 16-17. Winning the first NCAA game, play-in or not, gets us to 17-17…but then moves us on to another game. Lose that and we end 17-18. To end at .500+ (ha ha!) means getting one game over .500 first, as we’re only going to win our last game if we get #12, and I’ll walk from here to Pauley to help put it up if that happens. So, we need to either win the play-in and at least the Th/Fri game, or (since we wouldn’t be in the play-in game even should we win the Pac, though I agree with you that would be where we would belong) get to at least the Sweet Sixteen to guarantee a finish of at least .500.

Not trying to attack you, poncho, but the .500 thing has been bandied about a lot lately, and the math of it is a pet peeve of mine.

by KSBruin on Mar 12, 2010 11:36 AM PST up reply actions  

he said 'get to .500'

didn’t say ‘get to and finish the season at…’

Pedantry rules!

by britishbruin on Mar 12, 2010 11:40 AM PST up reply actions  

Exactly

Sorry to keep treading on your pet peeve KS. None of it is realistic anyways and there is pretty much no way we are getting to .500 as you point out. I was just laughing to myself about UCLA having such a bad resume that we might have to play in the play in game if we did get the automatic bid and thought I would share.

by bruinponcho on Mar 12, 2010 5:42 PM PST up reply actions  

As long as you are not encouraging gambling

and sharing it purely for informational purposes and providing context on matchups, I assume it is ok.

by Nestor on Mar 12, 2010 8:58 AM PST up reply actions  

yes, of course

just always find it interesting what the “experts” are forecasting, thanks

by DoubleTroubleBruin on Mar 12, 2010 8:59 AM PST up reply actions  

US gambling culture is so interesting

in contrast to the taboo it is here, I have placed bets on football matches in the UK… with a bookmaker at the stadium

When I was in Australia and New Zealand during the Rugby World Cup, we placed bets on silly things like ‘what was going to be the first stoppage in play’… with a licensed bookmaker colocated with the bar in which we were watching the games

*I say these things not to encourage gambling but am sharing it purely for informational purposes and providing context on societal differences

by britishbruin on Mar 12, 2010 9:23 AM PST up reply actions  

Interesting is certainly one word to describe it

Not to get too off-topic, but I live in Arizona where gambling is not legal. Well except for the five casinos within a one hour driving radius of Phoenix. Oh yeah and the state run lottery (for the children/schools!). But gambling is illegal…or not depending on who makes the money.

by EdtheBruin on Mar 12, 2010 9:57 AM PST up reply actions  

You forgot that the casinos around Phoenix

are advertised with billboards all over and commercials on radio and TV all the time!

(Ed – I was “AZBruin” until this summer.)

by KSBruin on Mar 12, 2010 11:38 AM PST up reply actions  

I placed bets on long shots in horse racing too.

Sometimes the outcome really confirmed what everyone already knew about long shots. They were long shots.

Yet other times, certain thoroughbreds simply stunned, stupefied everyone at the track when they stormed from dead last, or just the middle of the pack, to pull even with the leaders. Then with each powerful stride, and their jockeys’ furious ride, they just managed to beat the favorite across the finish line by a whisker.

It ain’t over till its over, my fellow bruin.

Michael Roll is that type of thoroughbred. Too bad Howland cannot coach like Lester Piggot, George Moore did as Hall of Fame champion jockeys of their times, or even Frank Dettori, currently one of Europe’s leading jockeys. But Roll will do all he can. That we know. If his team goes down tonight, he’ll still come out the winner because he is one.

When all is said and done, I am just so sorry Michael Roll has to finish his collegiate career this way. So let’s do all we can to support him, one way or another.

by Htse005 on Mar 12, 2010 10:20 AM PST up reply actions  

people, and teams, don't change overnight

we’re going to get destroyed today by the Cal Bears.

by bruinbunz on Mar 12, 2010 9:22 AM PST reply actions  

Probably loose tonight...

but Im sure MR will go out like a champ fighting to the very end.

by RideUCLA on Mar 12, 2010 9:29 AM PST via mobile reply actions  

Yes, you got it right

Winners don’t quit, even though they may not always win.

Michael wears his heart on his sleeve. For five years at Pauley, he did what he could to help his team win. How is it that we need to be pessimistic about tonight’s chance, even if indeed the odds are against him prevailing. So, let’s all cheer and root for him and his team. If he goes down fighting, we’ll make sure he goes down fighting like a champ and A WINNER that he is.

by Htse005 on Mar 12, 2010 9:54 AM PST up reply actions  

What we should root for today

N’s post started with the words “ambivalence and dread”.

I think we can hope for a team to play with intensity like they did last night. Not sure that will be enough to win. But I dont mind watching and cheering for a team that is fighting and trying, but maybe just not good enough. (I felt that way on last week’s AZ game…we did not have enough horses to compete with RN and ML out…my view.)

So there is no ambivalence on my part: I am cheering for the Bruins to bring their best. If they do I will continue to cheer and hope they can pull off a big upset. I agree with the analysis though….we don’t match up well against CAL. So If the Bruins play strong and it is not enough OK.

My dread is that we have seen this team play as if they are going through the motions. If that team shows up….no ambivalence. Just anger. I want these guys to try their hardest. That is all you can ask now or ever.

by Bruin Dad and Grad on Mar 12, 2010 9:32 AM PST reply actions  

+1

My thoughts exactly. Just give it your best effort and let the chips fall. Here’s hoping that in about 12 hours from now, Nestor is chomping down on some black feathered munchies.

by LongtimeBru on Mar 12, 2010 9:39 AM PST up reply actions  

LOL & LOL some more

I said exactly that too. The “bird” is now marinated, ready to be baked in the oven at Spago’s. Some poeple likely will get a hand delivered dinner invite tonight.

Never say never, really. We’ll hit the floor with guns blazing because T-H-I-S I-S U-C-L-A. Let’s do it again for Michael Roll !

by Htse005 on Mar 12, 2010 9:44 AM PST reply actions  

for us to win

we need our core players to avoid giving up cheap fouls, and need to take it at Cal’s bigs (maybe using Bobo to play against Zhang to save our other guys); we need to stop their backcourt from going off against us and not allow their backcourt pressure to get to us. A tall order all round.

by britishbruin on Mar 12, 2010 9:47 AM PST reply actions  

Agree

I was thinking the Bobo Zhang point as well. Especially for the first half.

The interesting thing is we played well for the first 10 minutes or a little less in the second game and led 24-13. Of our 24 points at the point in the game 10 of them were on layups or dunks. Just like we ran yesterday. We need some fastbreak points and layups to win. If we don’t have the fastbreak on a possession, as Nestor says we need to be patient which means we need ND inside or driving and no 3s from anyone except for MR.

On D, it is tougher. We need some luck and to have Randle et. al. go cold. Obviously we can help make that happen as we may have done in the first game. It may be a case of pick your poison. In the first game, there were periods in the game when Amoke was scoring layups at will against ND and RN in our zone but he seemed to tire out because he was not use to be a scorer, even when ND and RN were worthless and seemingly giving him his 5 layup buckets. Thus it may be better to gamble on Amoking hitting easy layups to having Randle et. al.have an open 3.

by DCBruins on Mar 12, 2010 10:14 AM PST up reply actions  

Speaking of Silly Fouls

Did anyone notice TH’s body language and demeanor after he fouled out yesterday?

I posted on it during the game thread yesterday.

It was almost as if he he wanted to foul out. There was about 8 minutes left and he got a cheap foul, helping out by swinging down at the ball during a drive to the hoop. Almost always going to be a foul. He just walked off the court expressionless. No emotions. Almost casual on the bench.

It seemed like he was throwing in the towel. Giving up. Wanting the season to finally end.

I don’t want to beat the kid up, especially given all the talk about his alleged displeasure with CBH’s system. But what I saw was fairly revealing.

Or was I mistaken in my observation?

Thoughts??

by Bald Eagle on Mar 12, 2010 10:21 AM PST reply actions  

I also noticed it

If I had to put words to his body language at the time, I’d guess it was probably something like “ahhh…f*** it…whatever.” Disheartening to see…though perhaps it was frustration at what he’d likely agree later was a stupid foul on his part, combined with being upset thinking at the time that his season had probably just ended. I’d like to hope it was stupid foul/disappointment at season probably ending instead of not giving a crap that he was done with his teammates/coaches/season.

by KSBruin on Mar 12, 2010 11:50 AM PST up reply actions  

I didn't get that

I think he reacted instinctively and then tried to pull his hand out. He was disgusted because he knew he had fouled out.

by 75NatChamps on Mar 12, 2010 3:21 PM PST up reply actions  

Cal

Is the best 9 loss, unranked team I have ever seen! No way we can beat them 10 miles from our campus.

"I don't forget very much" Rick Neuheisel, 11/28/09

by Blue Me on Mar 12, 2010 10:32 AM PST via mobile reply actions  

No way we should be able to beat them

But this is sports and this is college sports.

We play with intensity. The ball bounces the right way for us. They get complacent about the tourney. We could win.

And, of course, have 2 guys that really kick it into high gear. Yesterday it was MR and RN. Maybe today TH and ML.

by Bruin Dad and Grad on Mar 12, 2010 12:03 PM PST up reply actions  

I think you missed my sarcasm

Putting in perspective that we consider ourselves long shots against a team like Cal….oh how far we have fallen.

"I don't forget very much" Rick Neuheisel, 11/28/09

by Blue Me on Mar 12, 2010 2:25 PM PST via mobile up reply actions  

I can remember quite a few comments about

how UA was so much more athletic than us when we lost to them in January! We should have beaten them 2 out of 3 if it were not for ML’s cramps! That said, I believe we can hang with Cal especially if we make good use of our advantage up front! RN and the Toolbox have to perform well! If they do and CBH has a way to slow their shooters then we win!

by trublubruin on Mar 12, 2010 10:45 AM PST reply actions  

Did we play a weird junk zone a little against ASU?

Or was I just seeing things. For part of the game I thought I was seeing a defense that was neither man nor 2-3, and definitely zonish. I couldn’t tell whether it was maybe a replica of the ASU matchup-zone or something else. Was I only seeing things?

by bluebland on Mar 12, 2010 11:11 AM PST reply actions  

I've seen that at several points this season

 - a defensive alignment that doesn’t look like players are matched up well enough for it to be man, nor aligned effectively in a formation that looks like a deliberately planned zone…

by britishbruin on Mar 12, 2010 11:21 AM PST up reply actions  

So the question is....

Was it intentionally a “weird junk” defense or us just not executing!??!?

by Bruin Dad and Grad on Mar 12, 2010 12:04 PM PST up reply actions  

There is nothing to dread.

We have already over-achieved in this tournament, and Cal is no juggernaut. I agree with 75NC that the Bears’ shooting will probably drop off a bit, so, if we shorten the game in the typical Howland style and play some D, we can hang around. I am more worried because the Bears have some length and strength in the middle to hamper RN. Then, too, we have not played well two games in a row very often. As to the apparent combo defense, I had teams that played a sagging man-to-man. Not that I taught it. It’s just that they were slow and easily confused. Pretty effective at times, against drivers; not so great against spot-up 3-point shooters. Anyway, it’s just a 40-minute exam. I give us an outside chance.

by ReineSeite on Mar 12, 2010 11:39 AM PST reply actions  

now, if your quote had been

“I had a player who played a sagging man-to-man. Not that I taught him. It’s just that he is slow and easily confused”
then I would wonder which level you coached in the Belgrade Unified School District…

by britishbruin on Mar 12, 2010 11:43 AM PST up reply actions  

How to beat Cal, statistically speaking...

Cal is the 3rd most efficient offense in NCAA hoops according to Ken Pomeroy. I’ll throw out their preconference losses to Kansas, New Mexico, Syracuse and Ohio State and just focus on their stats in Pac-10 games.

Like the Bruins, when Cal shoots well (as they do most nights) they play well and are more energized on defense. However when they don’t shoot well from the perimeter, they don’t get back on defense and give up an alarming number of easy baskets in transition. During the season Cal shoots at a .476 FG Pct., .377 3PT FG, outrebound their opponents 40-35 and averaged 77.8 PPG.
In their five Pac-10 losses Cal shot .401 FG, .265 3PT FG, were outrebounded 184-161, and averaged 68.6 PPG.

The key to winning tonight is to put a lengthy defended on Randle and make him a driver and finisher at the rim, something he can do, but has trouble with. The real barometer of success for Cal is Theo Robertson, keep him under his average and hope the rest of the team doesn’t go nuts from beyond the arc. If the Bruins had a junk defense like a box and two it would really work tonight.

I know Dragovic is polarizing, but he’s the toughest match up for Cal. If they decide to guard him with Robertson, ND can go to the post. If the Bears defend him with Boykin that hurts Cal on the glass. The key for UCLA, I agree with Nestor on this, is slowing the game, limiting possessions and taking high percentage shots. IF ND and TH show up tonight, UCLA has an outstanding shot at the upset.

Life is what happens when you're busy making plans.

by 11 Banners on Mar 12, 2010 11:48 AM PST reply actions  

Maybe I'm wrong, but what if we just competed...

We all know that the Bruins are lacking just about everything, from experinced players to our level of talent. That is something that the players don’t have control over. And perhaps tonight our season will end because Cal is a much more talented team, but what if we just competed. I have been a UCLA fan since 1975 and this season I have stopped buying mylanta(for upset stomach) at Target and buying it by the case at Costco.
I am a Ben ball fan, but what happened to him this year and I am not refering to his players that left early for the NBA. In my opinion Ben forfited this season from the start. I have played and coached basketball for some time and although not at that level, I can tell you that if your players don’t play with heart and play like they want to win, some one in the bench does. I can take UCLA losing as many games as they have lost this season if they had just competed. The difference of playing a game and to compete, is that anyone can play, but to compete it takes a team effort , determination and purpose to play at your best at every opportunity.

by bruin4vida on Mar 12, 2010 11:53 AM PST reply actions  

Best Hope for a Bruin Win?

Does Cal think they need to win today to make the Big Dance? The general opinion among the popular media is no. So how much effort will they put into getting a win? If Monty thinks that it’s better to rest his players, he might play his bench if UCLA manages to build a big lead early like they did at Pauley.

Kind of depressing that I am hoping Cal doesn’t bother to show up for the game.

by Gen2Bruin1987 on Mar 12, 2010 11:58 AM PST reply actions  

Agree but

would not say best hope. CAL could let down because it does not matter. Whether we can take advantage or not is another matter.

by DCBruins on Mar 12, 2010 12:05 PM PST up reply actions  

We lose 72-57 tonight

but MR will play like a stud. RN will cut his lip. TH will have an amazing play. ML will make 1 three. ND will go 1-9 and wear his finest matador cape. JA will pass the ball to the referee on a fast break.

But hey, what do I know. I’m just the 800 lbs bruin in the room.

by tasser10 on Mar 12, 2010 12:05 PM PST reply actions  

Actually in a strange way I would not mind that one as much

at least it means ND is inside not outside shooting threes from 26 feet with 30 seconds left on the shot clock. But that was a memorable moment. and a good one

by DCBruins on Mar 12, 2010 12:57 PM PST up reply actions  

Have we had the same intensity two games in a row this year?

I certainly can’t recall it – the same team never shows up twice in a row. But for whatever reason, I’ll be watching. If it’s any consolation (it isn’t), my younger son graduated from Cal, but there’s no way in hell I think we can beat them, especially after seeing the first half of their game last night.

by ucla717274 on Mar 12, 2010 1:40 PM PST reply actions  

You are so right,

but for an elimination game, and last game ever for seniors, I think even Drago will try hard. The key is how we respond to adversity. Do we redouble efforts or quit?

by 75NatChamps on Mar 12, 2010 4:18 PM PST up reply actions  

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