As shown in the multiple posts on multiple web sites of many other schools, we are not the only ones eagerly awaiting to see if a hammer will fall on U$C* or just a little nail. We have all given our theories and hypotheses on what the NCAA will do, even though we all agree on what they should do.
Dan Wetzel probably has a bit more readership however and despite his previous ridiculous references to Sam Gilbert, I think he generally writes well. His current article asks what everyone is wondering, and that is how hard U$C* is going to get hit. He does make a few points that I find worth noting though...after the jump.
The first point is that there is a intangible here that must not be overlooked (emphasis mine):
It’s been years, if not decades, however, since the Infractions Committee ruled on a case as high-profile as the one involving the University of Southern California football and men’s basketball programs. ESPN reported that sanctions, if any, will be announced Friday. USC officials say they don’t expect a ruling before next week. If it wants to change its image, this is the case the committee has been waiting for.
The NCAA has rightfully earned a reputation of going easy on the big boys and slamming the little guys. This will be their chance to show either that it is indeed their modus operandi, or to reverse that perception.
It's one thing to make a significant statement, but it is quite another to overreact in doing so, and Wetzel believes that that is a possibility:
Common sense says the NCAA didn’t investigate both the football and basketball for years and then took months to write a report only to declare there were no violations. If there was nothing there this would’ve been done a long time ago.
Still, he believes that the hard evidence isn't quite there for the NCAA and that historically their sanctions haven't really had much effect on "slowing down major programs" anyway, at least after SMU's death penalty. The question then becomes, does the NCAA actually want to slow down those programs and bring them in check? It will be telling once we actually figure out what their sanctions are. I want to believe in Wetzel's finals words, but the skeptic force in me is strong.
The infractions committee knows the national mood though. They know the lack of faith fans have in the system and their committee. They know this is the most publicized case in years.
It’s human nature to try to prove your point.
I can only hope...