BN Pac-10 Power Poll: Preseason
Several weeks ago, we took stock of the Pac-10 as training camps were opening around the conference. Now, with the first week of games staring us right in the face, we take another look at the Pac-10 with another power poll. BTW if you haven't seen it SBN's Pac-10 blogs also released its combine power poll thanks to Avinash's outstanding work at California Golden Blogs. That said let's move to what the frontpagers think on BN.
Several teams have had injuries, development with key players or a lack of development with other key players. Instead of taking guesses though, next time we do this power poll, we'll have actual games to take stock of as all ten teams are in actions this week.
Stat of the Week: 6- Cal's Kevin Riley has thrown for a combined six touchdowns in the Bear's last two season openers, both wins.
Game of the Week: Oregon St. vs. TCU (Arlington, Texas), 4:45 pm PDT, ESPN- In a rare sight, two top-25 teams will open the season playing each other at the gargantuan Cowboys Stadium in Arlington, Texas. TCU enters the season looking to be the non-BCS conference team that finally breaks through and plays for a title, but it will take a perfect record to do it and Oregon St. will look to end their hopes early. With Jacquizz and James Rodgers, the Beavers have the speed to give the Horned Frogs problems, but how the smaller TCU defense holds up versus the big Oregon St. offensive line will be especially interesting.
Pac-10 Power Poll
1) Arizona Wildcats (3 first place votes)- A year ago, Mike Stoops was on the hot seat. Now, his Wildcats have a chance to make it to the Rose Bowl. It's unlikely that Toledo gives Arizona too much of problem in their opener, but going on the road to start the season is always a bit of a trick. With the game on national TV, the Wildcats do have a chance to make an impression though so there is something on the line if they are dreaming big in 2010.
2) Oregon Ducks (1 first place vote)- It's a prep week for the Ducks as they welcome New Mexico to Autzen Stadium. Even without Jeremiah Masoli, Oregon has high expectations and playing the Lobos makes for a good time for LaMichael James to serve his one-game suspension. If the Ducks get through their opener, as planned, they get James back and then focus on their biggest non-conference game of the year, at Tennessee, where the Vols are tough to beat regardless of how good the team is.
3) Oregon St. Beavers (2 first place votes)- So close to winning the Pac-10 and getting that elusive Rose Bowl berth a year ago, the Beavers will set their sites on accomplishing what they just missed out on a year ago. While their opener won't matter in the race for the Rose Bowl, OSU's game versus TCU on Saturday will go a long ways to setting the tone for the season if they can get a win and as will be the case all season, it is the quarterback play that will decide Oregon St.'s fate. Can Ryan Katz do the job? The Beavers' opener and season may depend on it.
4) California Golden Bears (1 first place vote)- The last four years, Cal has opened their seasons with games against Maryland, Michigan St. and Tennessee (twice). This season, the Golden Bears open versus UC Davis so it's not quite the season early season test that they're used to. Kevin Riley has made a habit of strong starts to his season so it's expected that he'll have a big game versus Davis, but it's whether or not he can do it as the year goes on that will determine the Bears' fate.
5) Stanford Cardinal (1 first place vote)- The Toby Gerhart era in Palo Alto is over and now it's time to see how Jim Harbaugh's program does without the bruising running back. The center of attention at Stanford is still in the backfield, but now it's Andrew Luck who everyone will be watching. The darling of NFL scouts, Luck will be charged with leading the Cardinal, although it's unlikely that he feels too much pressure in Stanford's opener as they host Sacramento St.
6) USC Trojans- The talk of the college football off-season has been the Trojans and the penalties levied upon them by the NCAA so it's only fitting that USC open the college football season. It all begins on Thursday with the Trojans in Honolulu to play Hawaii, where USC crushed the Warriors a few years ago. That was before the sanctions and before Lane Kiffin took over as head coach though. USC still has talent, even if they're not as deep so what can Kiffin make of the Trojans? We get our first look on Thursday.
7) UCLA Bruins- Kevin Prince should be a very good Pac-10 quarterback, but you can only be so good from the sideline. The Bruins' quarterback is injured yet again and whether or not he can play when UCLA opens their season in Manhattan versus Kansas St. on Saturday is still up the air. What is not up in the air is that the Bruins will have to make due with a shaky offensive line that will be without three projected starters, either due to injury or suspension. With the possibility of a back-up quarterback, the Bruins will need a running game if they're to have a shot against K-State.
8) Washington Huskies- Jake Locker is the media's favorite, the NFL scouts' favorite and a favorite of just about anyone who watches football. After all, he's big, he can run, he's smart and has a big arm. Now, with more talent around him than ever before, Locker will have to prove that he's ready to go from great talent to great quarterback. It won't be an easy start for Locker or the Huskies as they hop on a plane to play always-tough BYU in Provo, Utah. Washington wants to take a big step forward this season and they get to make people take notice right from the get-go.
9) Arizona St. Sun Devils- With Arizona St. looking at a lot of losses in 2010, Sun Devil fans will get a chance to put a smile on their faces early on with a cupcake game to start the season versus Portland St. Vontaze Burfict leads a ferocious defense, but their defense was very good last year and it didn't help so much. Everything the Sun Devils hope for this season will depend on the offense's production, but all an opener versus Portland St. can do is build confidence. Week three at Wisconsin will be their first chance to prove anything.
10) Washington St. Cougars- 22 losses in two seasons doesn't leave many with high hopes and Washington St. isn't hoping for too much this season. Just a few wins would be a nice step up for the Cougars, but a trip to Oklahoma St. will make that first of a few very difficult. Jeff Tuel had a moment or two of quality last season and it will take a moment or six to get the Cougars a win in Stillwater. If they can put together a respectable performance versus the Cowboys, Washington St. will be in a good position to take games versus Montana St. and SMU in the following two weeks.
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No one can call us homers ...
anyone could quibble with the details, but this really looks to be a very fair assessment of the conference.
Here is a link to the consensus media polls ...
http://preseason.stassen.com/consensus/2010.html#pac-10
It doesn’t reproduce here easily. UCLA is number 8.
Thanks Ryan and Thoughts on the BN Poll Movers
It is interesting that between the two polls, the teams that moved more then a spot:
Oregon Ducks went up 2. People seem to think that Masoli can be replaced.
Stanford fell two spots. Maybe “Luck is not enough.”
$UC went up two spots. I was one that ranked them higher the second time. The question remains how much will Lame Kitty’s lack of coaching ability and Barkley’s questionable big time QB talent hurt a physically talented semi-pro team. While clowns pick them to do extremely well in the PAC 10, the reality is that they have talent in most spots but IMO $UC is sadly deficient in the brains\intangibles department. How far will talent alone carry them?
UCLA went down two spots, injuries certianly play a role there. Also, my picks and this poll are on how they finish in the PAC 10. OSU and UCLA have tough NC games that will certianly effect their starts.
BTW, the graphic says 2009 Power Poll.
may also be a sample selection issue leading to us falling two spots
IIRC, there were six voters first time up, of which one (Bellerophon, I think) voted us as #1. In a 6-person poll, one outlier can skew the mean significantly; slightly less so in an 8-person poll; and I don’t know if B lost faith in our championship ability or didn’t vote this time, but we lost our one #1 vote…
by britishbruin on Aug 30, 2010 12:44 PM PDT up reply actions
OT
British I just shot you an email with my real name.
I expect us to be better than Stanford and OSU.
I expect us to win both games. Not saying we will, but that is my expectation — that we finish at least fifth in conference in such a wide-open year.
Our overall talent is stronger than both Stanford and OSU. It’s stronger on defense, even with what we’ve lost. Stanford has a stud qb, but if Prince is the guy Chow says he is then he should be at least close to as good as Luck. OSU will be playing a brand new qb who is totally unproven. Their line is strong, but their defense is always lousy. Most of their games will be toss-ups, as usual.
This is all contingent on Prince being healthy, of course, and maybe if his health was established your rankings would’ve been different Ryan? I’m very excited about the new offense and about it’s potential to mask our bad luck with OL.
IF Prince is healthy (and there are no more catastrophic OL injuries) and we don’t finish ahead of Stanford and OSU, it will probably mean that Chuck Bullough is not a good coordinator.
Well, these aren't just my rankings
They’re the results of eight different frontpagers’ votes. I can’t speak for them, but in my own vote, I had UCLA dropping from my pre-camp vote because if injuries to the offensive line. The Prince injury hurt a bit, but it’s the offensive line injuries, specifically Maiava’s that bothers me. Had we kept our offensive line intact through the summer/fall, I’d have had us ahead of SC and Stanford, although I do think Oregon St. is better than us no matter who got hurt or didn’t.
For everything UCLA baseball, visit my UCLA baseball twitter.
by Ryan Rosenblatt on Aug 30, 2010 2:32 PM PDT up reply actions
Same here
I also dropped UCLA from my precamp vote. Here is how I voted:
1. Arizona
2. California
3. Stanford
4. Oregon
5. Washington
6. Southern Cal
7. UCLA
8. Oregon State
9. Arizona State
10. Washington State
Here is how I voted before camp.
is Oregon State the most variant team in the voting?
I’m presuming ASU and WSU are fairly anchored to the bottom; are any other teams getting both 1st place and 8th place votes??
by britishbruin on Aug 30, 2010 3:05 PM PDT up reply actions
Oregon State 8th?
Not a big believer in Ryan Katz, are we? ;)
Guess
I am not sold on a first year starter yet.
by Nestor on Aug 30, 2010 3:16 PM PDT via mobile up reply actions
They will likely start bad as well
with a tough NC schedule. That said, I am a fan of OSU’s coach and like their closing home games against $UC and Oregon. I think they will finish strong and in a conference with more parity, I think coaching can make a difference.
yeah, I agree w that
There are lot of tossup games this season.
by Nestor on Aug 30, 2010 3:30 PM PDT via mobile up reply actions
My guesses
1. Stanford
2. Arizona
3. Oregon
4. Oregon State
5. Cal
6. UCLA
7. USC
8. Arizona State
9. Washington
10. Washington State
OR
1. UCLA
2. whoever
3. whoever
4. whoever
5. whoever
6. whoever
7. whoever
8. whoever
9. Cal
10. USC
Wildcards
We don’t really know what the Bruins will do: on D we’ve lost Price who dominated the game … but we don’t have the ‘soft spots’ either so offenses will have a harder time preparing for us. I am cautiously optimistic that we won’t be giving up as many big plays this year because our D is better experienced and balanced – and with an insanely motivated secondary. I expect a better D this year.
On the other side, with the Pistol, the jump in talent (and with all the reps Brehaut has) we’ll be better ‘insured’ against QB injuries. During our scrimmage, the OL was able to open lanes for runs and give the QB much more protection (even after Miava’s injury). Our running threat is enough to keep D’s honest.
I don’t see us having another 5-game losing streak or winning 9+ in the regular season – there’s a lot of room in between.
Jones
You wrote:
Our running threat is enough to keep D’s honest.
That and a bit more is the key to this season beyond the obvious ones. We have not had a good running game under CRN, if Jones can be a good RB, then things are looking better.
I have complete faith in our running backs
Between Jet Ski, Coleman and Jones, I think we’ll have the running backs for an above average running game, but I’m not sure we have an offensive line that will open holes for them.
For everything UCLA baseball, visit my UCLA baseball twitter.
by Ryan Rosenblatt on Aug 30, 2010 3:26 PM PDT up reply actions
I'm not sold...
The running backs seem to make plays on their own only rarely. Either they had a hole to go through or they went down. Malcom Jones seems like the only one of the three that can shed tackles from the (admittedly) little I’ve seen. Also, I’d like to see Thigpen in the rotation because he is quicker and faster than any of the other backs.
Call me a homer or a Pollyana, I think we're better, much better.
Of course, we have yet to prove it on the field in an actual game, but I really except much better play from our OL and QBs this year.
The OL will be more cohesive and more efficient in the Pistol because it spreads the defense more and relies on the option more than blocking to beat the edge. The better running game will help the QBs who are more experienced this year, even Bell who is very familiar with the Pistol, and especially Brehaut with almost three weeks of time with the ones in the Fall scrimmage.
We lost some studs on D, but we have plenty left and much more speed overall throughout the whole team.
It’s RN’s third year. Small improvements can make a team exponentially better. With a better running game, less pressure on the QB, a faster D, more offensive rhythm, confidence.
Most of all, when I see this year’s team play, I don’t see second-level, middle of the pack talent. On the contrary, I see top talent all over the field. I see whoever is the QB doing very well with all the offensive tools we have and the wide open Pistol offense.
I see no more excuses. We’ve all suffered through the growing pains of RN’s first two years. I expect more, much more, but because we have yet to do it on the field, I would rate us, pre-season NUMBER ONE!
This is fricking UCLA people! And we are going to kick some ass this year. Big time!
GO BRUINS!

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