FanPost

The Pac 10 According To The Computers

So I was looking through the most up-to-date computer rankings and I thought I might share some of my more interesting Pac 10-related findings.  Just to clarify, these numbers were taken from the four computer ranking systems (Sagarin, Billingsley, Colley, Massey) that are utilized by the BCS and currently available to the public.

1. We don't need the computers to tell us this, but they will anyway - the Pac 10 is pretty tough this year. Through week three, the Pac 10 has four teams with an average ranking under 15.  Here's the full conference breakdown:

Arizona 10.75
Oregon 12.75
Stanford 13.75
USC 14.25
California 33.75
Oregon State 36
Arizona State 54.75
UCLA 59.5
Washington 70
Washington State 108.75

 

That's four top 15 teams for a conference that started the season with one top 15 team according to most news sources.

2. The Pac 10 is pretty tough this year part II. Along with having several high ranking teams, the Pac 10 also has a very high average ranking as a whole.  We are currently third behind the SEC and the Big 12 in terms of average team ranking. And if you take away the best and worst teams from each conference we actually jump the Big 12 to take over the #2 spot.

Average Team Rankings


Sans Outliers
SEC 36.54

SEC 35.23
Big 12 38.75

Pac 10 36.84
Pac 10 41.43

Big 12 37.98
Big 10 42.77

Big 10 41.25
ACC 50.31

ACC 49.35
Big East 59.03

Big East 59.58
Mountain West 68.11

Mountain West 68.54
WAC 71.25

WAC 70.89
Conference USA 81.71

Conference USA 81.1
MAC 96.77

MAC 98.68
Sun Belt 106.17

Sun Belt 105.96

 

You might have noticed that eliminating the outliers doesn't do much to most conferences but it allows us to jump significantly, this brings me to my third point...

3. While there are many disagreements amongst rating systems, there is one unifying constant - everyone can agree that Wazzu is terrible.  If the Cougs win no other prize this year, they will at least walk away with the Outlier Trophy, given annually to the team that doesn't even seem to belong in their own conference.  In terms of falling behind the proverbial pack, the only team that even comes close to Wazzu is New Mexico State whose average ranking of 135.75 (that's right, there are at least 15 FCS teams ranked ahead of them) trails 37 points behind the WAC's second worst team, Louisiana Tech.

4. The computers are loving Arizona right now.  Despite the "point-a-minute" offensive heroics of Oregon, the Ducks stand a full two points behind Arizona in terms of average ranking.  Here's how the different ranking systems see the Wildcats:

Sagarin
Billingsly
Colley
Massey
Arizona 13 Arizona 12 Arizona 6 Arizona 12

 

As far as I can tell, the Colley system is favoring Zona based on the fact that their opponents are a combined 6-0 against other teams this year. Side note: Colley has our three-game strength of schedule ranked second overall behind Notre Dame, sounds about right.

<em>This is a FanPost and does not necessarily reflect the views of BruinsNation's (BN) editors. It does reflect the views of this particular fan though, which is as important as the views of BN's editors.</em>

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