Caveat: I am neither a football expert nor do I have a background in statistical analysis or gathering accurate football stats, so feel free to poke holes in all of this...
One thing that got me yesterday was how well the OSU defense was prepared for our offense. It seemed like they were all over those quick passes out to the flat and their coverage was pretty good for most of the game. And, of course, they absolutely stuffed our running game. Granted, Hundley threw for 372 yards yesterday, but we just felt off yesterday on all aspects. I wondered if maybe it was because OSU had seen Mazzone's offense and stuffed ASU last year? To be honest, I didn't watch any ASU game last year besides their squeaker against us last year, so everything below is via numbers quickly googled on the internet.
I couldn't find the actual stats, but calculated that ASU averaged 317 yards passing and 129 yards rushing last year. In the OSU game, Riley's defense held ASU to 258 yards passing and 109 yards rushing. So to see Mazzone's offense struggle again against Riley's defense shouldn't have been surprising.
So here's a table of our remaining opponents, whether or not there was a change in their coaching staff, ASU's offensive and defensive production against those teams las year, and whether I think we should expect to struggle offensively. For those teams with a change in coaching staff, I didn't see the need to collect those stats.
| opponent | coaching change? | 2011 passing | 2011 rushing | struggle? |
| oregon state | no | 258 | 109 | yes |
| colorado | no | 315 | 207 | no |
| cal | no | 264 | 213 | close, but no |
| utah | no | 325 | 74 | maybe? |
| ASU | yes | |||
| arizona | yes | |||
| wazzu | yes | |||
| suc | no | 223 | 169 | yes |
| stanford | no | no game |
So I'm expecting to see improvement over the next two weeks on offense and won't be surprised if we struggle again to run the ball against Utah. And the southern cal game might be a little troublesome for us offensively...
Given that, I'm hoping that our coaching staff learns from this experience and gets our offense firing on all cylinders in time for that game against southern cal.


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