One Possible Reason for Our Defensive Worries...
... may be our thinning backcourt.
Let's face it, our D schemes are built on tight, aggressive man defense at every position. You need quality bigs, to be sure. Bigs who can rebound (KL, LMRAM, LMR, AA2), hedge on pick and rolls (LMRAM, AA2, and especially LMR!), and fill their roles with brains and toughness and/or tenacity (all our bigs, including Keefe).
But, in recent years, by far our strongest area of defense has been perimeter D. Look at last year -- we had a reliable, formidable 4-man defensive rotation in the backcourt.
(1) AA -- a great combination of strength and almost limitless endurance, enabling him to chase and handcuff shooters. Maybe not the #1 quickest SG around, but quick enough, and freakishly determined.
(2) DC -- applying one-man pressure to force PGs to set up their offenses 3-4 feet further out, or get in sync 3-4 seconds later in the shot clock, everytime.
(3) Roll -- again, not the quickest guy in the world, playing smart defense and not messing up the team schemes.
(4) RW -- pure quickness and aggressiveness off the bench.
FOUR GUYS, without even counting JS swinging down to the backcourt in times of injury or crazy foul trouble.
Even the year before, we sent guys after opposing guards and swingmen in waves, with Farmar, AA, the green-but-whippet-fast DC, and the underrated Ced Bozeman. Yeah, Ced played the 3 in our sets, but still -- a long-armed 6-6 guy who covered whomever you wanted? Sold.
THIS YEAR? Hooooo boy.
(1) DC -- Coming off injury, but back to his time-burning, floor-extending one-man press. Check.
(2) RW -- Playing smarter, tougher D at the 2-guard spot. Check.
And, um... hmmm... oh dear... who else? Oh yeah...
(2.5) JS -- occasionally playing the 2, and still adjusting to the different D assignments.
I have believed for several eyars that to have an effective defense -- not necessarily a Detroit Piston "Bad Boys" D, but an EFFECTIVE one -- you need some basic elements. In brief, they are:
(A) INTERCEPTOR -- a guy with quickness to disrupt the opposing PG and keep them from setting up right away. Preferably your PG or other good handles guy who can steal the ball and score at the other end on his own.
e.g., Collison last year, Byron Scott on the Showtime Lakers, Tyus Edney on the '95 Champs.
(B) SEEKER -- Like Potter on a broom, your go-to chaser guy. If the other team has a freakish shooter off screens, or a crazy slash and finisher, you send THIS GUY to cuff him and stuff him.
e.g., Coop on the Showtime Lakers; Kobe and/or Rick Fox during the Bling Era; AA last year.
(C) INTERCHANGEABLE WINGS -- You know the types. 6-4 to 6-8 guys, long-armed, absurdly fast quick-twitch muscles. Guys who can double the post and still get back to the shooters. Guys who, if they switch off on pick and rolls or fighting through screens, can pick up the other guy's man with no worries. Can include your seeker or even your interceptor.
e.g., Charles O'Bannon and Toby Bailey and Ed; Jordan and Pippen and Harper; Fox and Horry and Kobe.
(D) BACKSTOP -- Shotblocking is great, but not entirely essential, depending on the team. However, the backstop has to take up space (by muscle or plain mass), control that space (by length or by strength), and make other guys regret going into the surrounding airspace (block 'em or rock' em).
e.g., Hollins in '06, Mata in '07.
In any event, let's face it: guards have to run around more. A LOT MORE. Thus, it's important to have quality and quantity of depth in the backcourt if you want to keep chasing shooters, taking PGs out of sync, and fighting through screens.
This year, with a healthy Roll, a 3-guard rotation in the backcourt (since LMRAM is just better at 4 for us than he is at 3, thereby forcing JS to be at the 3 again this year) would have changed things, but would still have been doable. Conceivably, DC would have start at the 1, Roll may have been a named starter at the 2, and RW would coms in to spell either and still play starter's minutes. Start RW instead of Roll, and it'd still have arguably the same effect.
But without Roll? Geez, we're playing with a two and one-half guard rotation here: DC and RW with extended minutes, and JS essentially the 3rd guard here, and only part-time, at that.
In years past, we've had an abundance of guys in the 6-0 to 6-6 range (Dijon, Ced, AA, Roll, RW, Jordan, DC, Shipp, etc.) NOW? Holy freaking BLEEP.
We've got an interceptor, we've got a seeker, but the interhcangeable wings are lacking. Granted, CBH's defensive schemes don't call for that many switches, but the same skill sets and physical attributes are needed.
Right now our guys have plenty of strength, but we need to develop our younger quicks.
Think of it this way -- we have THREE rotation guys capable of defending the center position on this squad: Love, Mata-Real, and Aboya.
We have SIX guys capable of defending one or both forward positions on this squad: Aboya, LMRAM, Keefe, Shipp, Drago, even Mata-Real (who still has the edge on footspeed and alterals over Kevin.)
Um, how many guys do we have that are capable of guarding guards? Seriously. THREE. Darren, Russell, and Josh -- and Josh is having some trouble on that end.
And his troubles reflect the team's troubles. That's our big problem. I'm not blaming Josh, or anyone else. The fact is, though, we need to get help for our backcourt, and on the defensive end.
Personally, I still think Chace will be the key to stopping the stretch-run bleeding, but Chace MUST practice well enough and develop fast enough to get IN the game. The kid may still be thin, but he clearly has athleticism. He may not be AA 3.0, but we clear need some energy on the perimeter to spell our starters.
Otherwise, we could have more problems. Shoot, we are already having some now -- look how many times the back door has been open.
It is clearly fixable, but it HAS to be fixed soon.
We need another wing. We need another seeker/ chaser.
I think we need Chace.
OK, enough from me. Feedback is welcome.
M
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Comments
Great Analysis
by Tydides on Feb 15, 2008 7:15 PM PST 0 recs
This has been enlightening
Is Stanback the answer though? It sure seems like he is having problems adjusting to the Ucla world...am wondering whether he is the one Dohn was hinting at who might be looking to transfer at the end of the season...it probably isn't keefe as he is getting in the lineup, my guess is either stanback or dragovic
by glassbruin on Feb 15, 2008 10:38 PM PST 0 recs
Not Doh! again
So let's try this. Here are my hints, all of which will happen within 2 years based on hints I have received from my sources:
- One well-placed NFL source has hinted that a highly respected Pac 10 assistant will get a heavily sought-after NFL coordinator's job.
- A highly confidential source at the NCAA says that the one-time investigation of justsc has already been put on the back burner, and it won't go anywhere unless bu$h confesses.
- An source inside the Pac 10 Commissioner's office says that someone close to the commissioner will make a heavy play to totally revamp the television package for all Pac 10 sports.
Or like Doh! I just make stuff up that could come true.
I hate to go ballistic over such a trivial irrelevancy as Doh!, but it disturbs me when fellow Bruins say things that suggests that Doh! has or deserves even a modicum of respect, because in my opinion he doesn't. His column, in my view, deserves it's place at the bottom of the actual and virtual bird-cage.
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by Fox 71 on
Feb 15, 2008 10:57 PM PST
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0 recs
well...
but personally i am struggling trying to make sense of stanback's limited minutes given his athleticism/his profile coming in. my limited deductive conclusions are based on these facts:
- i trust coach howland implicitly
- we have a relatively solid recruit who isn't getting playing time
- coach howland thinks defense first
- dragovic seems to be above stanback right now in the depth chart
by glassbruin on Feb 16, 2008 6:21 AM PST 0 recs
This is why
But I think Coach Howland is holding on to hope that he will able to come back by tourney time and give it a go. That is why he is non committal.
Great analysis M. Glad you put it up because I thought everyone needed to read it.
by Nestor on Feb 16, 2008 6:32 AM PST 0 recs
You're welcome, N.
We've got, what, SEVEN PAc-10 games left.
Enough's enough. I believe in CBH, but I am PRAYING we get Chace some time. We simply don't have any other blue-chip talented (if not yet experienced) guards left.
We don't need him to give us 8-10 pts. off the bench. We just need 8-10 minutes of decent defense, fundamental decision-making, and honest effort.
Keefe only gave us 8-10 minutes last year toward the end of the season and in the tournaments, but they were certainly good enough, esp. in the Big Dance.
Let's start KL, LMRAM, and JS and RW and DC all at once if we have to.
But we need a GUARD, or at least a true swingman, coming off that bench. Drago is as much of a guard as JR Sakuragi -- ahem, Henderson -- was. If Chace can be even HALF of what Toby was at the end of Toby's freshman year, we'll be in SOLID shape for a Final 4 run.
We've got LMR, AA2, and Keefe coming off the bench. Follow-up all that beef with a smooth Chace-r, and we'll make it.
From our keystrokes to God's ears...
M
by Meriones on Feb 16, 2008 8:16 AM PST 0 recs
nice analysis,
i dont think chace is entertaining transferring either, but i hope he rounds into form soon. he could be very good. if anyone is transferring, i'd put my money on abdul-hamid.
by rb bruin on Feb 16, 2008 3:52 PM PST 0 recs
My concern is that we don't have 3 guards...
Honestly, I'd be willing to entertain the notion of Drago starting at the 3 and Josh start at the 2, in order to have RW come in fresh off the bench, and then play Josh and RW and DC down the stretch.
I don't think the importance of guard depth can be underestimated here.
M
by Meriones on
Feb 16, 2008 6:11 PM PST
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