Bumped. Cool post that's worth discussing more. GO BRUINS. - BN Eds.
I'm on Spring break and should be doing research but I am going to take today nice and easy and bring you this year's installment of recruiting vs schedule.
If you want to take a look at last year's numbers, click here, or the year before that, click here. Recall:
I compared our recruiting class rankings (using Scout.com) with all of our opponents for the upcoming 2014 season to see how we stack up. I had the vague idea that we would be pretty good and our opponents pretty bad, but I wanted to see the numbers. So, I compiled the recruiting rankings for the last 5 classes (to account for 5th year seniors, redshirts, etc). Although last year's class was solid it was a bit unspectacular after back-to-back near top 10 classes.
Keep in mind, that this is a very crude analysis, and not something you put too much stock into for prediction purposes. But, it does show how we should not fear anyone on our schedule since we have the talent to play with anybody.
See some charts with fancy colors follow:
Perhaps that's too convoluted for your eyeballs. Here's the same chart but with average rankings over the previous 5 years.
If you're interested in the numbers:
2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | average | |
UCLA | 14 | 56 | 12 | 3 | 20 | 21 |
Virginia | 67 | 24 | 28 | 39 | 51 | 41.8 |
Memphis | 75 | 71 | 84 | 102 | 82 | 82.8 |
Texas | 3 | 3 | 1 | 23 | 15 | 9 |
ASU | 26 | 64 | 43 | 30 | 17 | 36 |
Utah | 34 | 39 | 33 | 53 | 69 | 45.6 |
Oregon | 13 | 13 | 15 | 17 | 22 | 16 |
UC Berkeley | 35 | 16 | 39 | 31 | 44 | 33 |
Colorado | 58 | 62 | 29 | 69 | 72 | 58 |
Arizona | 43 | 70 | 46 | 27 | 30 | 43.2 |
Washington | 10 | 22 | 23 | 14 | 35 | 20.8 |
Southern Cal | 6 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 10 | 11.8 |
Stanford | 24 | 23 | 7 | 57 | 16 |
25.4 |
Well, Tejas is a recruiting machine and $outhern Cal still manages to consistently haul in top classes. Then there's a bunch of schools with roughly comparable classes: UCLA, Oregon, Stanford, and Washington. The rest range from decent (e.g. Arizona schools) to bad (e.g. Memphis). Anyways, I don't see anything that interesting so what do you think?
Reminder/Disclaimer: this is NOT about predicting Ws and Ls, rather it's a quantitative look at recruiting and the talent distribution across the teams in our upcoming schedule. And with anything recruiting related, you must view it as true averages since anomalies abound.